Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A nice field of promising youngsters is set to line-up in Saturday’s Ken Russell Memorial Classic 2016 on the Gold Coast this weekend, betting tips for the sprint clash found below.
Due to run at 1:00pm (AEST) as the third race on the A.D. Hollindale Stakes Day card, this season’s $125,000 Group 3 Ken Russell Memorial Classic (1200m) runs with 14 runners after the early scratching of the Peter Robl-trained Sugarparma (14).
Leading the current Ken Russell Memorial Classic odds at Ladbrokes.com.au at $1.60 is Impending, the John O’Shea-trained Lonhro colt coming off a runaway two and a half-length win at Rosehill on debut over 1100m from April 23.
He saluted for the punters that day and is tipped to do so again here, but the price is very short and there could be value in the markets with juvenile races typically unpredictable.
Only one of the Godolphin galloper’s rivals are also under $10 for the win, with the Ciaron Maher-trained Not A Single Doubt filly Emphatically paying $8 to shine from gate three with Blake Shinn in the saddle.
She is a multiple Group 3 runner-up in Melbourne, but was disappointing last time out when slow out of the gates in Sydney’s Group 3 Percy Sykes Stakes (1200m) before runner eighth to Missrock.
If she has a better start here, the nice barrier will help her improve and hopefully atone.
The other best fancied at generous odds to score an upset include the Stuart Kendrick-trained Show A Heart colt Charnley River ($13), in-form Snitzel filly Spot The Diff ($13) coming off a second in Toowoomba’s Dalrello Stakes and her returning stablemate Royal Tithe ($13) who was last seen winning over 1350m at Doomben on March 5.
So is this year’s Ken Russell a one-horse race like the bookies suggest or is there value laying the odds-on favourite?
#1 Sundance ($14)
Going for a value punt and think the local Toby Edmonds-trained I Am Invincible colt is a winning chance first-up. He won the Listed Phelan Ready Stakes (1050m) at Doomben during the summer, and was far from disgraced at this track on Boxing Day from a wide barrier when fifth in the Group 3 BJ McLachlan (1200m). Has proved his fitness with two subsequent trials including a win over 1000m at Deagon on April 26 by 5.5 lengths, the perfect lead-up to his return there where he’ll get things his way from barrier four.
#4 Impending ($1.60)
Lots of respect for the promising favourite from the Godolphin stables, but the price is too short for a horse that has had just the one start. Barrier seven looks good and McDonald is an ace hoop. Showed plenty in that run for a Rosehill success and the class is there, but whether he’ll win is another story facing some better experienced youngsters.
#9 Spot The Diff ($13)
A super-consistent filly who has won four of her eight starts to date is up in class following a second over the distance in Listed company at Toowoomba on April 16. Is drawn a similar barrier here jumping from six and is looking to return to winning form after winning her three previous starts. Plenty of livewire hopes for the placings, and she is certainly one.
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