2016 Breeders’ Stakes Betting Odds & Tips

Morphettville Racecourse is host to two black-type races this Saturday in Adelaide, the feature event of which is the Breeders’ Stakes 2016 for the two-year-old gallopers.

Set to run as Morphettville Race 6 at 3:43pm (local), this season’s $120,000 Group 3 Campolina Stud Breeders’ Stakes (1200m) originally attracted a final field of 12.

Only 10 are left in the mix however after the early scratchings of the David Hayes & Tom Dabernig-trained Highland Beat (10) and Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas’s Pretty Punk (1).

Sitting top of the updated Breeders’ Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au paying a short $1.97 for the win is the odds-on favourite Ariaz.

Due to jump from barrier three with Ryan Maloney in the saddle, the Robbie Griffiths-trained Charge Forward filly is firming fast to continue her winning ways after a successful debut at Sandown-Hillside over 1000m in late March.

She overcame barrier 11 of 12 to defeat Motown Lily by a tidy two lengths in that race for the fillies and now takes on the boys in Adelaide with Maloney riding once again.

Just two of her rivals are also at single-figures in Breeders’ Stakes betting this Adelaide Autumn Racing Carnival with Tris ($4.80) and Smart Manoeuvre ($5).

The reaming Hayes & Dabernig-trained acceptor, Street Boss filly Tris comes off an 1100m win at Echuca from the start of the month, and has twice been tested in stakes’ company at Flemington last spring.

She sees the 1200m for the first time on the weekend, but with nearly five lengths to spare on her closest rival last time out, the extra metres should present no problem on Saturday from her good barrier two draw.

Smart Manoeuvre is drawn wider for top local hoop Dom Tourneur, the Phillip Stokes-trained daughter of Smart Missile looking to break her maiden status at her third career start on the back of a fourth to Moqla at Morphettville over 1100m from a wide barrier (12 of 12) on April 2.

So will the first three in the markets be the first three over the line in the Breeders’ Stakes result, or is there value further down the betting from the likes of Mick Price’s visiting Testa Rossa filly from Victoria Astro Diva ($12) or the unraced Explosive Gift ($13) who debuts from the outside alley?

1st

#11 Smart Manoeuvre ($5)

Going for the local talent to stack up here with a nicely-bred filly on the improve. She has had two runs at the track for a second and a fourth, the latest hampered by a wide draw in a 12-starter field. She has a wide gate again, but fewer rivals, and will be better for the run. The step up in distance will suit and she’ll be making a late run.

2nd

#7 Ariaz ($1.95)

No doubting the promise of this Melbourne-based favourite, but odds-on is a bit short to take for the win. She did her debut easy on March 28 at Sandown-Hillside winning by two lengths, suggesting going up from 1000m to 1200m will suit. She is still green, but has plenty of upside.

3rd

#3 Karmidala ($26)

Big price on offer for this galloper who will get a race suited better than last start when fifth at the track over 1100m. The slow pace in that lead-up put the Ryan Balfour-trained Krupt gelding on the backfoot, but with more speed here there’s improving to do late. Looks overs in betting for sure.

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2016 Breeders’ Stakes Odds

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