2016 Queen Elizabeth Stakes Form Guide & Betting Preview

The richest race of the autumn highlights the bumper Royal Randwick card for Day 2 of ‘The Championships’ this Saturday with the Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2016 stealing the show, a detailed form guide analysis and betting preview for the classic found below.

The United States

Ranvet Stakes winner The United States is favourite to win the 2016 Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick. Photo: Steve Hart.

Winx isn’t backing up in the weight-for-age clash off her Doncaster Mile win, but we’ve still got a capacity field for this year’s $4 million Group 1 Longines Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m).

Without the one-time odds-on favourite there to dominate the Queen Elizabeth Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au it’s a more open market and current top fancy at $4.20 is late entry The United States coming off a win in the Group 1 Ranvet Stakes (2000m).

There looks plenty of value in Queen Elizabeth Stakes betting this Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival however especially with the possibility of a Heavy track.

The others at single figures include the reigning champion Criterion ($6) and Waller’s The BMW winning four-year-old son of Zabeel Preferment ($5.50) drawn well in barriers two and five respectively.

To help you sort the pretenders from the genuine contenders below are our must know Queen Elizabeth Stakes facts and betting statistics!

2016 Queen Elizabeth Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Queen Elizabeth Stakes winner was the David Hayes & Tom Dabernig-trained Criterion (2015) who came off a George Ryder Stakes second and jumped from barrier four (of 12) with Craig Williams aboard the 4/1 shot
  • #1 Criterion ($6) returns to defend his title in 2016 out to become the first back-to-back champion since Grand Armee (2004-05) and he ran third in the Ranvet Stakes last start, is drawn in gate two and has Tommy Berry riding
  • Last year’s winning trainers Hayes & Dabernig (2-1-0-0) are also represented this year by #8 Dibayani ($26) and #13 Rising Romance ($21)
  • Along with Hayes & Dabernig the other former Queen Elizabeth Stakes winning trainers with a runner this autumn are: Chris Waller (15-2-2-2) with #2 Preferment and #16e Weary; Murray Baker (4-1-3-0) who trains #3 Mongolian Khan in partnership with Andrew Forsman; Lee Freedman (9-2-1-1) who trains #4 Our Ivanhowe in partnership with Anthony Freedman; and John Hawkes (13-1-3-1) who trains #11 Leebaz in partnership with his sons Michael and Wayne
  • Last year’s winning jockey Craig Williams (9-1-1-0) is on standby to ride the second emergency #16e Weary ($126)
  • The previous Queen Elizabeth Stakes winning jockeys guaranteed a ride this year are: Hugh Bowman (9-1-2-0) on #2 Preferment, James McDonald (1-1-0-0) on #10 Hauraki, and four-time winning hoop Damien Oliver (13-4-1-2) on #12 Lucia Valentina
  • Last year’s winning barrier (4) has produced six winners (since 1983) and belongs on Saturday to #4 Our Ivanhowe ($19)
  • Along with barrier 4 the other most successful Queen Elizabeth Stakes gate with six winners in that time is six drawn this year by #16e Weary meaning #13 Rising Romance (7) will start from the alley if the second emergency fails to gain a start
  • Two of the past three Queen Elizabeth Stakes winners had their final lead-up in the Group 1 George Ryder Stakes (1500m) with Criterion (2nd in 2015) and Reliable Man (6th in 2013); no horse backs directly up out of that race this year
  • The past two champions won as four-year-olds and horses that age in the mix this year are: #2 Preferment, #3 Mongolian Khan, #10 Hauraki, #14 Fenway and #15e Awesome Rock
  • Six-year-olds have the best record in the past decade with four wins in the last 10 years most recently with My Kingdom Of Fife (2011) and the 6YOs in the mix on Saturday are: #4 Our Ivanhowe, #5 The United States, #8 Dibayani, #11 Leebaz and #16e Weary
  • Two last start winners in the past five years have won and the horses coming off a win this year are: #2 Preferment (Group 1 The BMW, 2400m, Rosehill, 24/03/2016), #5 The United States (Group 1 Ranvet Stakes, 2000m, Rosehill, 19/03/2016), #7 It’s Somewhat (Group 3 Neville Sellwood Stakes, Rosehill, 26/03/2016) and #11 Leebaz (Group 3 Easter Cup, Caulfield, 26/03/2016)
  • Just one mare has won the Queen Elizabeth Stakes since Dinky Flyer (1987) with More Joyous (2012); the mares out to break the hoodoo in 2016 are: #12 Lucia Valentina, #13 Rising Romance and #14 Fenway
  • Three favourites have saluted for the punters in the past 10 years most recently More Joyous (2012) and this year #5 The United States ($4.20) is the top fancy in betting
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #3 Mongolian Khan (50%) followed by #9 Happy Clapper (40%) and #5 The United States (38%)
  • The best Place Rate of the field belongs to #9 Happy Clapper (73%) followed by #10 Hauraki (64%) and #5 The United States (63%)
  • The horses with the best winning record at the distance (2000m) are: #1 Criterion (14-3-4-3), #2 Preferment (5-3-1-0), #12 Lucia Valentina (7-3-1-1), #5 The United States (4-2-1-0) and #6 Happy Trails (17-2-3-2)

At the Randwick track the horses with the most wins are: #9 Happy Clapper (6-3-1-0) and #1 Criterion (10-2-2-2)

  • It is a likely Heavy track for Saturday and the horses with the best form on Heavy going are: #12 Lucia Valentina (2-2-0-0), #1 Criterion (3-1-0-1), #3 Mongolian Khan (1-1-0-0), #5 The United States (1-1-0-0) and #16e Weary (5-2-0-1)

Stay tuned for our insider Queen Elizabeth Stakes 2016 betting tips to be published shortly.

In the meantime go over the full race form below and sign-up with Ladbrokes.com.au quoting the code BETBONUS to have your first deposit matched dollar for dollar up to $500!

2016 Queen Elizabeth Stakes Form Guide

Comment

Have your say, post a comment.