The Tulloch Stakes 2016 featuring a full field of three-year-old colts and geldings takes place at Rosehill Gardens on The BMW Day this Saturday in Sydney and below are our insider tips and the latest betting odds on the set weights showdown.
Due to run as Rosehill Race 5 at 3:10pm (AEDT), this season’s edition of the $175,000 Group 2 Tulloch Stakes (2000m) has the full 14 starters plus three emergencies led in betting at Ladbrokes.com.au by the John O’Shea-trained Old North ($3.60).
One of the lightest-raced runners in the field the nicely-bred son of Lonhro lines-up for Godolphin with their leading hoop James McDonald in the saddle from a gun barrier four draw.
To date Old North has had five runs for two wins and his latest start was a brave fourth beaten under half a length by Hattori Hanzo in Rosehill’s Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) on March 12 from the same barrier he’s drawn for Saturday’s rematch.
Following closely in the latest Tulloch Stakes odds at $4 is River Wild, Gai Waterhouse’s Fastnet Rock colt at an easing price to post his first win this time in.
He is down in class off two Group 1 runs when fourth over the Flemington mile in the Australian Guineas and then fifth only last weekend in the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas (2000m) behind Tarzino.
Tommy Berry jumps on this weekend in the place of Brenton Avdulla, River Wild drawn one outside of the favourite in gate five.
Rounding out the single-figure fancies in Tulloch Stakes betting this Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival are then the Phar Lap Stakes winner Hattori Hanzo ($6) shooting for his fourth win on the trot and runner-up in the same race when beaten a mere short half-head Man Of Choice ($7).
So will one of the best in the markets salute or is there an upset Tulloch Stakes result on the cards from a longer priced runner such as Damien Oliver’s mount Predator ($11) debuting down under off a NZ Derby seventh from the start of the month or the David Hayes & Tom Dabernig-trained Caulfield Guineas fourth placegetter from the spring Sovereign Nation ($10)?
#4 Man Of Choice ($7)
Think Luke Price’s Manhattan Rain gelding is overs in betting stepping up to a more suitable distance this weekend. Last time over 2000m he ran third to Vanbrugh in Randwick’s Group 1 Spring Champion Stakes back in October. Things went amiss in the Victoria Derby after that, but third-up last start his narrow Phar Lap second caught the eye. Over more metres and regaining form, he’s the danger to go one better and turn the tables on his last start conqueror.
#7 Old North ($3.60)
The favourite has the good lead-up form including a Phar Lap Stakes fourth last time out a fortnight ago. That was his maiden black-type start and he handled it well. Looks like he’ll eat up more metres and he gets the chance to prove that here against a similar line-up. McDonald stays aboard and he was held up in the Phar Lap, so really the run was even better than it looks on paper. He’s out to atone.
#1 Hattori Hanzo ($6)
Phar Lap winner is in flying form, the Michael Kent-trained Sebring gelding looking to extend his autumn winning streak to four straight. He did only have a nose to spare on the line last time out and is out over further than 1514m for the first time here. How he handles the step up in distance is key to his chances, but he is pretty hard to knock if he proves a staying type.
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