Early favourite for the weekend’s Kewney Stakes 2016 at Flemington Racecourse, Don’t Doubt Mamma has suffered an early blowing coming up with the outside barrier 16 of 16 on ‘Super Saturday’.
Due to run as Flemington Race 5 at 3:10pm (AEDT), this year’s $200,000 Group 2 Kewney Stakes (1400m) attracted a full field of 16 three-year-old fillies.
Sitting top of the current Kewney Stakes odds at [labrokes] paying $4.80 to make it back-to-back wins this time in is Don’t Doubt Mamma who has the outside alley to overcome.
First-up the Sandown Guineas third placed daughter of Not A Single Doubt kicked things off with a Group 3 The Vanity (1400m) win at Flemington.
It’s been three weeks since that good effort in a race Group 1 winner Perfect Reflection finished third in, Don’t Doubt Mamma shooting for her third win from five starts at Flemington in the Kewney Stakes.
Dwayne Dunn retains the ride, but he and the favourite have work to do from the nasty gate if Don’t Doubt Mamma is to retain her unbeaten record over the distance of (3-3-0-0).
Just three of her rivals are also under $10 in Kewney Stakes betting including Catch A Fire ($5.50) who shoots for three straight wins from a good barrier four draw with Damian Lane to ride.
Prepared by Lindsay Park’s David Hayes & Tom Dabernig, Sebring filly Catch A Fire is yet to run at Flemington but she won over 1200m by four lengths at Moonee Valley on February 12 before a last start success in Caulfield’s Group 2 Angus Armanasco Stakes (1400m).
Lane was in the saddle for both wins, the latter by an also impressive two and a quarter-lengths, the distance set to suit again this weekend.
The other single figure fancies are the returning Mick Price-trained Badawiya ($6.50) drawn a treat in gate two and Peter Moody’s Group 1 performer Pasadena Girl ($8) at the opposite end of the barriers out in 13 of 16.
Al Maher filly Badawiya won the Group 2 Edward Manifold Stakes (1600m) in her only other Flemington run to date in early October by two lengths before her third to Stay With Me in the Group 1 Thousand Guineas (1600m) last time out.
Pasadena Girl is a nicely-bred daughter of Savabeel who is two-from-three at the Flemington track.
She was fourth in the Thousand Guineas before finishing in the same position twice more to see out her spring behind Jameka in both the Group 2 Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) and the Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m).
Her returning run was a third in the Angus Armanasco Stakes that she is out to improve on this weekend despite her best form being over a mile or more.
The next best in betting at more generous odds for the upset include early market mover Jacqui’s Joy ($11) out in gate 15, Mark Kavanagh’s Vanity Stakes runner-up Egypt ($11) and the rails-drawn Mossin’ Around ($12).
Blake Shinn rides the John Thompson-trained Mossin’ Around from barrier one this weekend, the filly coming off four straight second place efforts including behind Risque in the Group 3 Kevin Hayes Stakes and to Catch A Fire last time out.
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