The penultimate event on the CF Orr Stakes Day program at Caulfield Racecourse on Saturday is the TS Carlyon Cup 2016, betting tips for the mile feature found below.
A final field of a dozen hopefuls is gathered for this year’s edition of the $150,000 Group 3 The Cup Club T.S. Carlyon Cup (1600m), which is set to jump at 5:00pm (AEDT) as Caulfield Race 8.
Of the 12 runners the favourite in the latest TS Carlyon Cup betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au paying $3.50 for the win is Burning Front jumping from barrier 10.
Melbourne Cup winning trainer Darren Weir prepares this ultra-consistent Primus five-year-old who has his first run at Caulfield on the back of strong summer form around Melbourne’s other premier tracks.
Last time out the gelding won over 1514m at Moonee Valley taking out the VOBIS Gold Star by a tidy two and three-quarter lengths and is back in Group company for the first time since his third to Charmed Harmony in the Group 3 Sandown Stakes (1500m) in mid-November.
There are three other single figure chances in the current TS Carlyon Cup odds including Red Excitement ($7) drawn the outside alley and market mover Amorino ($8) at the opposite end of the field with barrier one.
So can Burning Front get the job done for Weir or will there be an upset TS Carlyon Cup result from the likes of the Gerald Ryan-trained Snitzel six-year-old Dances On Stars ($7.50) or Extra Zero ($11) racing for the first time since his failed Perth bid in December?
#1 Amorino ($8)
Archie Alexander’s Ballarat-based son of Snitzel carries the 57kg top weight but only gives a maximum of two kilos away to his rivals so isn’t all that disadvantaged weight-wise. The six-year-old is drawn the rails with barrier one, a big plus, and has winning form at the track. His spring was far more miss than hit, but even his Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m) run when 11th wasn’t exactly bad when beaten under three lengths as a $31 outsider in betting. Won here last April in black-type company and will get a soft run.
#6 Burning Front ($3.60)
Deserving favourite in a pretty mediocre field without any genuine standouts. Has a wide draw but time to overcome the gate, and Brad Rawiller knows the horse well having been aboard for his two latest wins since late November. He comes off a Valley success over similar distance that he blitzed by nearly three lengths from a better barrier, and only needs luck from the double-digit barrier here.
#11 Pure Karma ($15)
Plenty of value in the exotic selections and this in-form Purrealist four-year-old trained by Saab Hasan looks overs. He is consistent (7-3-1-0) and improving each run. Won over 1500m two back at Geelong carrying 58kg and was second over this track and distance on February six in an eye catching run. Good barrier five draw and Steven Arnold is no flop hoop replacing Craig Williams in the saddle.
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