Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
One of three black-type features on the Sydney race card at Rosehill this Saturday is the Widden Stakes 2016, betting tips for the two-years-old fillies clash detailed below.
Due to jump as Race 4 at 2:30pm (AEDT) on the Expressway Stakes Day program, this season’s $150,000 Group 3 Widden Stakes (1100m) field is down to 12 starters after the early scratching of the Gai Waterhouse-trained Global Glamour (9).
Current Widden Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au are led by the market mover Aghna ($4.40) who is getting plenty of love from the punters despite her wide barrier draw (10).
Tye Angland jumps aboard the Foxwedge filly prepared by Gabrielle Englebrecht after riding her to a trial win over 838m at Randwick on January 12.
That followed her third on debut in the Wyong Magic Millions 2YO Classic won by subsequent Gold Coast MM Classic winner Capitalist, the form of which the bookies are tipping to stand up again.
The next best in Widden Stakes betting are Waterhouse’s remaining chance So Serene ($4.80) who was runner-up in the Inglis Nursery on debut at Randwick back in December and Rick Worthington’s unraced Redoute’s Choice filly Honesty Prevails ($4.80) who caught the eye with her big four length trial win in Sydney on January 12.
So should punters follow the money trail or is there value tipping an upset Widden Stakes result from the likes of the Joe Pride-trained Warwick Farm winner in the mud on debut Kentucky Miss ($7), the John O’Shea-trained daughter of Sepoy Chipanda ($7) or even Cudabeen ($15) in the outside alley for her third race start?
#1 So Serene ($4.80)
One-time favourite in betting, So Serene is on the drift making her good value to break her maiden status at start number two for Waterhouse. She’s drawn fair in barrier eight for Tommy Berry who replaces Christian Reith in the saddle. The daughter of Exceed And Excel was runner-up on debut at Randwick in December over 1000m and trialled well last time out. She is on the improve and looks a big chance.
#3 Kentucky Miss ($7)
Pride’s Foxwedge filly is out wide but if she overcomes the gate she wins. She trialled and won at Warwick Farm in December before her first-up run at the same track on January 7, which she blitzed with a three and a quarter length win in the wet. Rosehill is currently rated a Soft (6) and any extra rain will further boost this filly’s chances of repeating her all-the-way win last time out.
#4 Aghna ($4.40)
Lots of money coming for another daughter of 2012 William Reid Stakes winner Foxwedge, his progeny often performing well early. She jumps favourite to keep the Wyong Magic Millions form going after the win at the Gold Coast of Capitalist who beat her home by nearly four lengths that day. She’s trialled since that solid debut at Randwick and won the same hit-out So Serene placed third in.
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