Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This Saturday at Flemington Racecourse the latest Melbourne Summer Racing black-type takes place with the Kensington Stakes 2016, betting tips for the sprint down the famous straight found below.
Due to run as Flemington Race 7 at 4:06pm (AEDT), this year’s $120,000 Listed Kensington Stakes (1000m) attracted a final field of 11 sprinters.
Latest Kensington Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au are led by Mark Kavanagh’s classy mare Wild Rain ($4.20) who is set to get the run of the race from the inside alley with Glen Boss in the saddle.
Boss rode the ultra-consistent daughter of Manhattan Rain last time out at the Gold Coast for her second to Husson Eagle in the Magic Millions Sprint (1100m).
She’s a short-distance specialist with five wins, a second and a third from nine 1000m runs to date and will relish the drop back in metres on Saturday as she looks to return to winning form.
Wild Rain is followed in the Kensington Stakes betting markets by the likes of 60kg top weight The Quarterback ($6) who was last seen beating Saturday’s favourite at the track and distance during the Melbourne Cup Carnival, the returning Team Hawkes-trained Exceed And Excel colt Headwater ($6.50) who is drawn well in barrier four getting in on the 54kg minimum and Yesterday’s Songs ($7) who will be flying home late.
So can Wild Rain keep her good form going and post her maiden Flemington win or is there an upset Kensington Stakes result on the cards from the likes of the Tony McEvoy-trained three-time winner over the distance Iconic ($8), Peter Moody’s in-form Mossman mare Pink Perfection ($7.50) or the Danny O’Brien-trained four-year-old Bullpit ($11) who comes off a win at the track and distance from January 16?
#4 Wild Rain ($4.20)
The favourite is deserving of her status at the top of the markets and from the inside alley at her pet distance will be hard to hold off. Boss retains the ride, she will improve off the Magic Millions Sprint second at the Gold Coast, hasn’t finished out of the money in her seven most recent runs and was a black-type winner over the distance two back at Sandown-Hillside. She also has black-type form at Flemington when runner-up to The Quarterback, who she faces again with the fitness edge this weekend, on November 5 last season.
#7 The Monstar ($13)
Really good value still on offer for this Brett Cavanough-trained five-year-old who was third last time out on Melbourne Cup Day in a Listed 1200m Flemington run. He’s yet to win at the track but has a 50% winning strike rate (8-4-1-0) over 1000m so will be flying first-up over the distance. His resuming record is solid (3-1-1-0), jockey Daniel Stackhouse knows the horse well and he’s got really nice form against similar company.
#1 The Quarterback ($6)
Robbie Griffiths’ Cranbourne-trained top weight has the big kilos to overcome but the Street Boss five-year-old has plenty of class to still get the job done. He goes up three kilos from the 57kg he carried to victory on a Heavy (9) Flemington track in black-type company over this distance last time out in November. He defeated Wild Rain that day, but the mare has the fitness edge over him for the rematch. Still, his form is hard to ignore especially at the track / distance (5-3-0-1) and the speed up front will help.
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