Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This weekend we say goodbye to Group 1 racing for another calendar year in Perth with the Kingston Town Classic 2015 lighting up Ascot Racecourse, a detailed form guide analysis and betting preview for the feature found below.
Due to jump at 4:50pm (WA time) as Ascot Race 8 on the nine-event program, this year’s $1 million Group 1 TABtouch Kingston Town Classic (1800m) features a final field of 16 weight-for-age hopefuls.
In the latest Kingston Town Classic odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, who are offering an incredible Best Tote or SP + 20% on the race on Saturday, there are five single figure hopes.
Leading betting at $3.90, out from $3.80, is German raider Magic Artist who after drawing the inside alley that produced last year’s winning Moriarty looks mighty hard to beat.
He comes off back-to-back Group 1 Flemington fourth place efforts during the Cup Carnival and up from a mile in the Emirates Stakes to the 1800m looks ideal third-up down under for this flying stallion.
The most likely to stop the German in his tracks according to the bookmakers is the undefeated Grant Williams-trained filly Perfect Reflection ($4.40) who has won all four of her career starts to date.
History says she won’t win however with no filly taking out the race since it was first run in 1976 and she also has a wide barrier 12 draw to overcome, a gate that hasn’t produced a winner since Better Loosen Up way back in 1989.
The next best in Kingston Town Classic betting are market mover Real Love and dual Group 1 winner Delicacy, both mares at $6 and drawn in barriers 7 and 16 respectively off the back of seventh and sixth place efforts in the Group 1 Railway Stakes (1600m) a fortnight back.
The last of the hopes under $10 is then the Vaughn Sigley-trained Blackfriars gelding Black Heart Bart ($8) whose lead-up form is hard to knock, the five-year-old winning three on the trot including the Group 2 Lee Steere Stakes (1400m) before a brave fourth in the Railway behind Good Project.
So will the favourite get the job done for the punters or does the Kingston Town Classic 2015 form guide, betting history and statistics reveal value further down the markets?
2015 Kingston Town Classic Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Kingston Town Classic winner was the Chris Waller-trained Moriarty (2014) who came off a third in the Railway Stakes, jumped from barrier one of 16 with Douglas Whyte aboard and jumped the short-priced favourite
- This year the only eastern state trained hope in the race is #1 Extra Zero ($21)
- Last year’s winning barrier (1) has produced three winners (since 1983) and belongs on Saturday to the race favourite #4 Magic Artist ($3.90)
- The most successful Kingston Town Classic barrier in that time producing five winners is 10 that #12 Neverland ($15) will jump from this weekend
- #12 Neverland is also ridden by last year’s winning jockey Douglas Whyte who is over from Hong Kong again
- Along with Whyte (1-1-0-0) the other previous Kingston Town Classic winning jockeys with a ride this year are: Damien Oliver (6-1-2-0) on #4 Magic Artist, Jason Whiting (8-1-1-1) on #8 Dark Musket, Shaun O’Donnell (13-2-2-0) on #9 Balmont Girl and the most successful hoop in recent years Steven Parnham (10-3-1-0) aboard #15 Blackwood
- The previous Kingston Town Classic winning trainers with a chance on Saturday are: David Hayes (13-3-0-1) who trains #1 Extra Zero in partnership with his nephew Tom Dabernig, Neville Parnham (21-2-1-3) with #5 Bass Strait, Graeme Ballantyne (2-1-0-0) with #8 Dark Musket and Fred Kersley (11-1-0-0) with #15 Blackwood
- The Railway Stakes has produced eight of the past 11 Kingston Town Classic winners including Moriarty (3rd) last year
- This year the horses backing up from the Railway Stakes are: Balmont Girl (3rd), Black Heart Bart (4th), Hazzabeel (5th), Delicacy (6th), Real Love (7th), Bass Strait (9th) and Tower Of Lonhro (11th)
- Favourites have a gun recent record in the race winning four of the past seven editions with #4 Magic Artist out to be the next in 2015
- Three of the past six winners came off a last start victory and this year there are three last start winners in the mix with: #12 Neverland (Listed Carbine Club of WA Stakes, 1400m, Ascot, 21/11/2015), #13 Man Booker (Group 2 WA Guineas, 1600m, Ascot, 21/11/2015) and #16 Perfect Reflection (Group 3 WA Champion Fillies Stakes, 1600m, Ascot, 14/11/2015)
- #16 Perfect Reflection ($4.40) and #15 Blackwood ($21) are out to become the first three-year-old filly in the race’s history to win
- The only mare to win the race in the past 20 years was St. Clemens Belle (1999); there are four mares out to break the drought this year with #9 Balmont Girl, #10 Real Love, #11 Delicacy and #12 Neverland
- Three-year-olds have the best record of any age group in the past decade with three wins; the other two 3YOs in the mix aside from the fillies are #13 Man Booker and #14 London Line
- #16 Perfect Reflection boasts the highest Win Rate (100%) being undefeated followed by #12 Neverland (75%), #15 Blackwood (63%) and #11 Delicacy (63%)
- #16 Perfect Reflection and #12 Neverland both boast perfect 100% Place Rates followed by #15 Blackwood (88%), #11 Delicacy (88%) and #14 London Line (82%)
- The previous winners over the distance (1800m) are: #1 Extra Zero (6-1-1-1), #3 Tower Of Lonhro (2-1-0-1) and #11 Delicacy (1-1-0-0)
- Those with the best winning strike rate at the track (Ascot) are: #2 Black Heart Bart (18-6-5-2), #11 Delicacy (12-6-1-3), #12 Neverland (7-5-1-1), #9 Balmont Girl (25-5-6-4), #10 Real Love (12-5-3-2), #14 London Line (8-4-2-0), #3 Tower Of Lonhro (11-2-1-1) and #16 Perfect Reflection (2-2-0-0)
Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Kingston Town Classic 2015 betting tips to be published shortly.
In the meantime head to Ladbrokes.com.au and open an account quoting the code BETBONUS to enjoy up to $500 in bonuses when making your first deposit at the bookie offering Best Tote or SP + 20% on Saturday’s Kingston Town Classic!
2015 Kingston Town Classic Form Guide
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