Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A small but quality field of stayers line up in the second at Rosehill Gardens on Festival Stakes Day this weekend, the ATC Cup 2015 betting tips found below.
Due to jump as Race 2 at 1:20pm (AEST), there is just seven in the mix for this year’s $100,000 Listed Tyreel Stud ATC Cup (2000m).
Of those the race favourite in the latest ATC Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au paying a short $1.60 for the win is Chris Waller’s in-form mare Telepathic.
Jumping from gate three with James McDonald booked for the ride on the five-year-old daughter of Mossman, she comes off a 1500m win at the track from a fortnight ago carrying 59.5kg and will be flying on the 54kg minimum this weekend.
She is followed in ATC Cup betting by the Anthony Cummings-trained son of Savabeel Best Case ($5) drawn one on her inside in barrier two and Bring Luck ($7.50) who shoots for back-to-back wins at the track following a win in the November Topaz (1900m) in the mud on November 14.
So can the odds-on favourite salute for the punters in this year’s ATC Cup result or is there an upset on the agenda from the likes of Tony McEvoy’s Adelaide raider Lucky Lucky Lucky ($9) who has winning form up to 2200m or Waller’s market mover Vilanova ($12 into $10) out to improve on a November Topaz third?
#4 Telepathic ($1.60)
She is odds-on but deservedly so and even at the short price is hard to bet against based on her stellar lead-up form and the big drop back in weight to just 54kg here. She’ll get the run of the race from barrier three with the in-form McDonald in the saddle, the proven miler after her first win over further than 1600m here. The distance shouldn’t be an issue however as she was runner-up beaten only 0.4 lengths in the Group 3 Rough Habit over the distance in May last year, has run over 2400m in Group 1 company and finished third in the Group 3 Epona Stakes (1900m) in Sydney under a half-length away at this track in mid-March.
#7 Bring Luck ($7.50)
Sticking with the well-weighted last start winners and think another big run from this four-year-old son of Sebring is on the agenda after he flew home by a tidy two and a half lengths over 1900m here to win the November Topaz. That was in the wet, where he runs his best with excellent Heavy track form (6-2-2-1), so needs to handle firmer going here. That said, the distance and track suit so don’t rule out even on non-rain affected ground.
#3 Vilanova ($10)
Overpriced runner in the race has to be Waller’s November Topaz third placegetter whose three career runs have all been on Good tracks so the placing on a Heavy (9) here last time out was game. Winning strike rate isn’t good but from four Rosehill runs boasts three thirds and think that’s where the Commands five-year-old can finish up again this weekend.
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