The card closer on Perth’s Railway Stakes Day line-up this Saturday is the Tattersall’s Cup 2015, betting odds and tips for the handicap clash detailed below.
The last of nine races at Ascot Racecourse on the weekend, this year’s $100,000 Listed Tattersall’s Cup (2100m) features a full field of 15 starters plus an emergency runner and has a jump time of 5:20pm (WA time).
Leading the current Tattersall’s Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, who are offering Best Tote or SP + 20% on the Group 1 Railway Stakes on Saturday, at a quote of $4.60 is Young Lionel.
Lou Luciani’s local Blackfriars seven-year-old won the Listed Northam Cup (1600m) two back in late October before a brave last start second in the Listed Ascot Gold Cup (1800m) on November 7.
Two weeks between runs looks ideal for the 45-start veteran who has had just the one previous run over the 2100m for a win.
He has won four from 21 at Ascot, so his record at the track isn’t top notch, and he goes up to 57.5kg so his short price could be a risk.
Four other runners are under $10 for the Tattersall’s Cup win this weekend including close $5 second fancy Drive West in gate 11.
Joe Miller’s fellow seven-year-old son of Blackfriars beat Young Lionel home by one and a half lengths to take out the Ascot Gold Cup last time out, Saturday the horse’s 72nd career start.
He is in as good a form as ever, but goes up from 54kg to 57kg this weekend so has extra metres and kilos to handle to go back-to-back.
The next best in Tattersall’s Cup betting are the early market mover Mystic Prince ($7.50) who has Perth’s best William Pike in the saddle, the in-form Darren Mcauliffe-trained Snippetson six-year-old Rebelson ($8) and Dubai Escapade ($9.50) with the rails run from barrier one.
So will the top fancies get the job done for favourite backers in the last at Ascot on Saturday or is there an upset Tattersall’s Cup result on the cards from the likes of Damien Oliver’s mount Who’s To Blame ($10) or Bedamijo ($11)?
#12 Raising Dubai ($12)
Think the value in the market lies in this lightly-weighted and nicely-drawn Dubai Destination six-year-old who comes off back-to-back fourths in similar company. The first was to Young Lionel in the Northam Cup and then to Drive West in the Ascot Gold Cup. Boasts winning form up to 2200m so the step up in distance should suit this gelding who gets in on the 55kg minimum and jumps from barrier two. From the gate over this distance he will go back and with a nice turn of foot could be hard to hold off late.
#5 Young Lionel ($4.60)
Favourite looks a little vulnerable but his Ascot Gold Cup run was full of merit as he did it facing the breeze without cover. He was run down late but gets the chance to atone with a better run here, Jarrad Noske retaining the ride. He looks set to handle the distance again having won his only other start over 2100m so could end up first past the post with the right run.
#3 Rebelson ($8)
Big weight (58kg) but right lead-up form from this son of Snippetson who ran third in the Ascot Gold Cup and shoots for his first win over further than 1800m. He looks set to hit his peak this run so only question is if he’s good enough to defeat this field when fit.
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