Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
A sprint feature for the older mares, Thursday’s G.H. Mumm Stakes 2015 is one of three Group highlights of Crown Oaks Day at Flemington and below are the latest betting odds and tips for the sprint showdown.
Set to run as Flemington Race 7 at 4:00pm (AEST) one event before the $1 million Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m) steals the show, this year’s $200,000 Group 3 G.H. Mumm Stakes (1100m) has attracted a capacity crowd of 20 starters plus an emergency runner.
Leading the latest GH Mumm Stakes odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, who are offering Best Tote or SP + 20% on the full Flemington race card for Oaks Day on Thursday, at $3.40 is Lumosty.
She is drawn wide in barrier 16 (into 15) and doesn’t have all that long to make it up down the straight, but the bookmakers are still tipping the in-form Fastnet Rock four-year-old as the one to beat.
Robert Smerdon’s last start Group 2 Caulfield Sprint (1000m) winner is a gun at Flemington (4-2-1-1), was Group 1 placed when third to Srikandi in the Tattersall’s Tiara in the winter and her second-up record reads very good also (3-2-0-1) so she is ticking plenty of boxes.
Just three of her rivals are also under double figures for the win including the $8.50 second pick Brook Road to jump from gate 10 with Hugh Bowman taking over aboard the Kris Lees-trained Newcastle visitor.
The God’s Own five-year-old is yet to race at Flemington but is three-from-five over the distance and tipped to improve on her ninth last time out in the Listed Alinghi Stakes (1100m) at Caulfield.
Equal at $9 for the win in the latest markets are then Hidden Pearl with veteran hoop Jim Cassidy in the saddle and Tuscan Sling out wide in 17 (into 16).
Brisbane horseman Barry Lockwood brings his Hidden Dragon mare Hidden Pearl to Melbourne on the back of her nice Doomben win over 1050m at home last start first-up and she is looking to frank the Queensland form in her maiden Melbourne run this week.
Tuscan Sling has Melbourne Cup winning jockey Michelle Payne, sure to still be on a high after her historical victory on Tuesday aboard $101 roughie Prince Of Penzance, in the saddle for the king of Ballarat Darren Weir.
Weir cleaned up in the Cup and is looking to keep the good times coming with this Danehill Dancer five-year-old who won over 955m at Moonee Valley two back before a third in the Alinghi, which could prove the form line to follow.
At longer odds but still boasting genuine claims are the likes of Lindsay Park’s Alinghi Stakes runner-up Miss Promiscuity ($10), Tony McEvoy’s Adelaide raider The Messina Nymph ($13) and the returning Peter & Paul Snowden-trained O’Reilly mare Dublin Lass ($13).
So is there an upset G.H. Mumm Stakes result on the cards or can the favourite get the job done for the punters on Ladies Day?
#2 Lumosty ($3.40)
She is drawn wide and doesn’t get in great in the weights going up to 59kg after going around with only 54kg on her back last time out, but still think this four-year-old has the class to overcome the obstacles and get the job done for the punters. She is Group 1 placed behind Srikandi and was flying first-up with her strong win in the Group 2 Caulfield Sprint (1000m) over the boys. She is second-up and has a good record two runs in so far of two wins and a third from three attempts, plus is two-from-four with a second to boot at Flemington so down the straight is a big danger.
#11 Japhils ($26)
Nice price on offer for this in-form John Sadler-trained Choisir four-year-old who is an early market mover in from $31. Still at juicy odds for her first run at Flemington despite her two good runs this time in including the narrow second to Afleet Esprite over 1100m at Caulfield last time out. Has the outside alley, but depending on where the winners are coming from on the day, this might not be such a bad thing and Craig Williams takes over from the apprentices who have been getting her the weight relief of late in a race where she gets in on 55.5kg.
#18 Tuscan Sling ($9)
The Weir-Payne combination made history in the Melbourne Cup on Tuesday and so expect future runners from the two to be short in upcoming markets. The hype though is not undeserved for Tuscan Sling who carries 55kg on the back of an Alinghi Stakes third. She is on the improve and based on her last run should measure up again here with an even closer finish.
Get behind your favourites in all nine Flemington races on Thursday and lock in Best Tote or SP + 20% to win more only at Ladbrokes.com.au!
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