2015 Victoria Derby Betting Tips

October 30, 2015

2015 Victoria Derby Betting Tips

The feature race on the opening Melbourne Cup Carnival meeting on the weekend at Flemington Racecourse is the Victoria Derby 2015, betting tips for the 2500m Group 1 for three-year-olds detailed below.

Extra Choice

Geelong Classic winner Extra Choice is a top three 2015 Victoria Derby hope even from the outside alley at Flemington on Saturday. Photo: Ultimate Racing Photos.

There is a full field facing off in this year’s $1.5 million Group 1 AAMI Victoria Derby (2500m) including the Mick Price-trained favourite Tarzino who is on the drift to win Flemington Race 7 at 3:50pm (AEST).

After opening as short as $2.40 for the win through Ladbrokes.com.au, who are the only Aussie bookie offering Best Tote or SP + 20% across the full Flemington card on Saturday, the son of Tavistock is out to $3.

Favourites have a poor record in recent years with just one Victoria Derby top fancy saluting in the past 10 years, but Tarzino ran a stellar third in the Moonee Valley Vase over 500m shorter last weekend and is set to eat up the metres seven days later at Flemington.

Money is coming in the Victoria Derby betting markets for a number of his longer priced rivals to score yet another upset including the $7.50 second pick Kia Ora Koutou with the race’s most successful barrier, one.

Lark Hill horseman Adam Durrant prepares the WA raider who was impressive over 2200m to win last start back home ahead of his maiden interstate trip where he is thrown in the deep end on the back of some strong runs.

The biggest Victoria Derby market mover though is Lizard Island smashed in from $12 to $8 to post his first Group 1 success after a Caulfield Guineas second over 1600m two back and his strong second to Crown Oaks favourite Sacred Eye in the Group 3 Norman Robinson Stakes (2000m) on October 17.

They are the only single-figure fancies for the staying test so far, but money has also come for the John O’Shea-trained Shards ($19 into $12) who beat Tarzino home by one last weekend when runner-up in the Vase.

So can Tarzino break the favourites’ hoodoo in the Victoria Derby or is the value further down the markets once more from a roughie hope such as the well-priced Geelong Classic winner Extra Choice ($14) in the outside alley or improving Excellent Art colt Get The Picture ($11)?

1st

#1 Lizard Island ($8)

Lizard Island is firming and rightfully so. He needs to handle the metres, but if he does that he could be hard to run down. Pat Hyland’s son of Sebring is in flying form this campaign running first or second in his latest four runs. He has winning form only up to a mile, but looked good when runner-up to Sacred Eye in the Group 3 Norman Robinson over 2000m. Drawn well in gate three giving jockey Blake Shinn the run of the Derby. The form is strong out of the Norman Robinson, the winning filly tipped to success in next week’s Crown Oaks over the 2500m, and it has produced two of the past four Derby winners.

2nd

#6 Extra Choice ($14)

The outside alley is obviously a concern, but there have been two Derby winners in the past nine years to jump out wide with Rebel Raider (15 in 2008) and Lion Tamer (14 in 2010), so it isn’t the be all and end all for this up-and-coming Redoute’s Choice gelding for Lindsay Park. He won over 2200m in the Geelong Classic by a good margin last start, the same race Preferment ran second in before his VRC Derby triumph 12 months ago. That form could stack up again in 2015 if Ben Melham gives Extra Choice the right run on Saturday.

3rd

#2 Shards ($12)

Tarzino certainly has claims as the favourite last weekend reeling in the ace late sectionals for his Vase third, but this O’Shea-trained galloper beat him home there and threatens to do so again on Saturday over the extra metres. Early money coming for the colt who has Cox Plate hoop Hugh Bowman in the saddle taking over for James McDonald, Bowman shooting for his fourth VRC Derby victory.

Whether you agree or disagree with our Victoria Derby 2015 betting tips make sure you have access to Best Tote or SP + 20% on all the Flemington races this weekend by opening your account at Ladbrokes.com.au today!

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Rogerson Dreams of 2018 Melbou...

The Everest 2018 Field to Feat...

The Everest 2018 Field to Feature Redzel

Inaugural champion Redzel has officially secured his position in the 2018 The...

2018 The Everest Field Takes S...

2018 The Everest Field Takes Shape: In Her Time Confirmed

She missed out on a shot at the world’s richest race on turf last spring but...

Trapeze Artist Secures 2018 Th...

Trapeze Artist Secures 2018 The Everest Slot for Aquis

The first official slot in The Everest 2018 field has been confirmed with...

El Dorado Dreaming of 2018 VRC...

El Dorado Dreaming of 2018 VRC Oaks Bid

Ben Smith’s ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes winning filly El Dorado Dreaming is in...

Horse Racing Today

Capacity field of 16 for 2018 ...

2018 Kingsford-Smith Final fie...

2018 Kingsford-Smith Final field: English draws barrier 1

Rejuvenated Group 1 performer English has drawn barrier one in the final field...

A win by English in 2018 Kings...

A win by English in 2018 Kingsford-Smith Cup could secure an Everest slot

Doomben 10,000 winner English could be racing for a slot in the 2018 The...

BRC Sires’ Produce Stake...

BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes nominations: Waller’s trio top 3 in betting

The Chris Waller trained two year ods  The Autumn Sun, Zousain and Lean Mean...

Waller to have multiple runner...

Waller to have multiple runners in 2018 Queensland Oaks

Recently inducted Hall Of Fame trainer Chris Waller is likely to have multiple...

Race Results

Viewed Victorious in Caulfield Cup

Race 1 Result – $101 500 AGL Renewable Energy Stakes – She’s Got Gears Wins

Race 2 – $101,500 Schiavello Plate – Avienus Wins

Race 3 – $101 500 Lavazza A Modo Mio – Linton Street Wins

Race 4 Results – $151,500 Listed Herald Sun Stakes – Strawberry Field Wins

Race Previews

2009 Caulfield Cup Barrier Draw Announced

Who Are the Top Contenders for Tomorrow’s Caulfield Cup?

Victoria Derby in sight for Onemorenomore

2009 Melbourne Cup Field

Eclipse Stakes Final Field & Preview

Fields & Form

Can Kelinni Win Sydney Cup 2013 for the Punters?

Moroney Gets into Queensland Derby 2013 Rhythm

Buffering Draws 7 – 2013 BTC Cup Final Field and Barrier Draw

SA Fillies Classic 2013 Field Released

13 two-year-olds in 2013 Champagne Classic Field