While all the attention this weekend is on Melbourne’s Caulfield Cup Day fixture, a Group 3 continues the Sydney Spring Racing Carnival at Royal Randwick with The Nivison 2015 closing the card on Saturday.
Due to jump as Randwick Race 9 at 6:00pm (AEST), this year’s $125,000 Group 3 City Tattersalls Club Nivison (1200m) field is still at capacity with 13 runners, the first emergency Kind Heart getting a run from a wide draw after the early withdrawal of Sarisara who was drawn the outside alley.
Leading The Nivison odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, who have Best Tote or SP + 20% on offer for Melbourne’s Caulfield Cup Day races, at $5 currently is the market mover Fine Mist.
Bede Murray’s four-year-old Good Journey mare has the second widest gate to overcome and is yet to win at Randwick, but did a good job over 1000m to win at Warwick Farm last time out on October 5.
It is a wide open The Nivison betting market after that with four other single figure fancies including Sultry Feeling ($6), one on the favourite’s inside, whose lead-up run was a third in the Group 3 Tibbie Stakes (1400m) at Newcastle on September 18.
Three other mares are all equal on $7.50 with the returning Gerald Ryan-trained Group 3 winner at Doomben in May Peace Force, Queensland visitor Miss Cover Girl who won at this track and distance in Group 3 company in the autumn, and Nayeli for Peter & Paul Snowden drawn a treat in gate two for her first-up run.
So will one of the favourites salute for the punters or is there an upset The Nivison result on the card this weekend?
#1 Peace Force ($7.50)
Good odds on offer for Ryan’s ultra-consistent six-year-old whose last start was a Group 3 Glenlogan Park Stakes (1350m) win in Brisbane. She has run top three in her nine most recent runs and has a good record at Randwick (2-1-1-0), her latest being a 1400m victory back in December last year by two lengths carrying 58kg. Set weights plus penalties conditions work to her advantage here as she has 56kg and is drawn nicely in gate six. Her first-up record is also solid (5-1-2-0) and could be hard to hold off at the track when fresh from that barrier with that weight.
#9 Tree Of Jesse ($13)
Nice value Each Way chance jumping from wider (barrier 10) but with only 54kg. Hasn’t won since May over 1400m here in the mud, any rain to suit James Cummings’ known mudlark. Returns to racing here and is undefeated first-up (2-2-0-0), which works in the four-year-old’s favour. Showed she was on track to return with a winning barrier trial over 742m here on October 2 and is a gun at the distance with two wins from three previous 1200m runs. First-up last time she did it easy at this track and distance and is looking to repeat that in better company on Saturday.
#2 Miss Cover Girl ($7.50)
Another of the single-figure fancies, this four-year-old daughter of Monashee Mountain has the outside alley to overcome but has plenty of class and is still a Top 3 chance. Has Group 3 winning form in the PJ Bell Stakes at this track and distance from April and hasn’t run a bad race since, including her first-up third at home at Doomben at the start of the month over 1050m. She’ll be improving on that fitter for the run and better suited to 1200m (6-3-1-0).
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