Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival hits fever pitch at Caulfield Racecourse this Saturday with the Caulfield Cup 2015 running with a capacity field of local and international stars, a detailed form guide analysis and betting preview on the classic found below.
Due to jump as Caulfield Race 9 at 5:40pm (AEST), this season’s $3 million Group 1 BMW Caulfield Cup (2400m) features a full 18 starters plus four emergencies awaiting early scratchings to gain a run in the world’s richest mile and a half handicap.
Despite the size of the Caulfield Cup field, only three runners currently figure under $10 for the win in the latest Caulfield Cup odds at Ladbrokes.com.au who are offering an incredible Best Tote or SP + 20% on the race.
Leading the markets at $4.60 is the New Zealand-trained four-year-old Mongolian Khan who boasts an elite level win over the distance having won Sydney’s ATC Derby as a three-year-old in the autumn.
Opie Bosson has the ride on the progressive Murray Baker-trained Holy Roman Emperor four-year-old who comes off a third to Cox Plate hope Criterion in the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) last Saturday.
The last Caulfield Cup winner to come out of the Caulfield Stakes though was back in 2003 with Mummify (2nd).
The next best in Caulfield Cup betting are the John O’Shea-trained ATC Derby runner-up Hauraki ($9) who also ran second last time out in the Group 3 Craven Plate (2000m) in Sydney and Ciaron Maher’s Turnbull Stakes third placed mare Set Square ($9.50) who is drawn wide in gate 16 but gets in on just 51kg.
So will the first three in betting run this year’s Caulfield Cup trifecta or is there value tipping an upset from the likes of Japan’s Fame Game ($10) who heads towards the Melbourne Cup on the first Tuesday of November, the British raider Snow Sky ($11) who four-time Caulfield Cup winning hoop Damien Oliver partners this weekend or last year’s Caulfield Cup runner-up Rising Romance ($11) looking to go one better 12 months on?
To help you decide who to back and who to sack in the Caulfield Cup 2015 check out the below form guide facts, betting statistics and historical data before heading to Ladbrokes.com.au who are also offering an Extra 50% on your very first Fixed Odds winner in Races 1 – 5 on Caulfield Cup Day!
2015 Caulfield Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Caulfield Cup winner was the Japanese-trained Admire Rakti (2014) in his Australian debut, the seven-year-old jumping from barrier 7 (of 18) with Zac Purton in the saddle on 58kg
- There are two horses from Japan in this year’s race looking to go back-to-back with #3 Fame Game ($10) and #5 Hokko Brave ($15)
- Last year’s winning hoop Zac Purton (2-1-0-0) has his third Caulfield Cup ride this weekend seeking successive victories aboard Fame Game ($10) who carries 57kg and jumps from barrier one
- The other previous Caulfield Cup winning jockeys with a ride this year are: Damien Oliver (20-4-2-1) shooting for his fifth aboard #2 Snow Sky, Craig Williams (11-2-1-1) on #5 Hokko Brave, Jim Cassidy (19-2-0-1) on #9 Grand Marshal, Dwayne Dunn (12-1-0-0) on #13 Lucia Valentina and Kerrin McEvoy (13-1-0-2) on #17 Set Square
- The previous Caulfield Cup winning trainers after a win this year are: Lee Freedman (30-4-2-1) who trains #4 Our Ivanhowe in partnership with Anthony Freedman, and David Hayes (18-2-2-0) who prepares #14 Rising Romance and the third emergency #21e Dibayani in partnership with Tom Dabernig
- Last year’s winning barrier (7) has produced a total of four Caulfield Cup winners (since 1983) and is drawn this year by third emergency #21e Dibayani ($51) but will belong to #11 Vokstock’n’barrrell (11) who will come in four places if the four emergencies fail to gain a run
- The most successful Caulfield Cup barrier in that time producing five winners is 9 drawn on Saturday by #6 Mongolian Khan ($4.60) but with #16 Gust Of Wind (13) a chance to jump from the gate if the emergencies fail to gain a start
- Admire Rakti carried 58kg to victory and was the second Caulfield Cup winner in three years to salute with that weight along with Dunaden (2012)
- This year the co-58kg top weights looking to be the next are #1 Protectionist ($41) and #2 Snow Sky ($11)
- Two of the past three Caulfield Cup winners were seven-year-olds and this year the only 7YO in the mix is #8 Who Shot Thebarman ($26)
- Six-year-olds have won three of the past six editions most recently Fawkner (2013) and the 6YOs in this year’s field are: #1 Protectionist, #3 Fame Game, #4 Our Ivanhowe, #9 Grand Marshal, #10 Royal Descent, #18 Magnapal, #19e Quest For More, #21e Dibaynai and #22e Magic Hurricane
- Only one mare has won the Caulfield Cup since 2002 with Southern Speed (2011) and the mares in the mix this year looking to be the next are: #10 Royal Descent ($21), #13 Lucia Valentina ($31), #14 Rising Romance ($11), #16 Gust Of Wind ($17) and #17 Set Square ($9.50)
- Two of the mares in this year’s race ran top three behind Admire Rakti 12 months ago with Rising Romance (2nd) and Lucia Valentina (3rd)
- Just one Caulfield Cup favourite has saluted for the punters in the past 10 years with Master O’Reilly (8/1 in 2007)
- This year’s favourite out to break the hoodoo is #6 Mongolian Khan – who you can lock in at Best Tote or SP + 20% for value at Ladbrokes.com.au on Saturday!
- The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #6 Mongolian Khan (58%) followed by second emergency #20e Complacent (50%) and #11 Volkstok’n’barrell (43%)
- The highest Place Rate belongs to #20e Complacent (90%) who is being kept safe in betting despite needing two scratching to make the starting line-up followed by #17 Set Square (80%) and #11 Volkstok’n’barrell (71%)
- Four last start winners have won the Caulfield Cup in the past 10 years most recently Dunaden (2012) and this year only two of the emergency runners won their lead-up with #20e Complacent (Group 3 Craven Plate, 2000m, Randwick, 03/10/2015) and #22e Magic Hurricane (Group 1 The Metropolitan, 2400m, Randwick, 03/10/2015)
- The only horses with winning form at the track (Caulfield) are: #18 Magnapal (8-3-2-0), #17 Set Square (2-1-1-0) and #15 Magicool (6-1-0-0)
- Over the distance (2400m) those with the best form are: #4 Our Ivanhowe (7-3-0-0), #6 Mongolian Khan (2-2-0-0), #7 Trip To Paris (5-2-0-0), #5 Hokko Brave (7-1-2-0), #2 Snow Sky (6-2-1-0), #14 Rising Romance (3-1-2-0), and emergencies #19e Quest For More (7-3-2-2) and #22e Magic Hurricane (6-4-0-2)
Stay tuned for our insider Caulfield Cup betting tips to be published shortly.
In the meantime check out the full Caulfield Cup 2015 form guide below then head to Ladbrokes.com.au to enjoy Best Tote or SP + 20% on ALL races on the Caulfield card this Saturday!
2015 Caulfield Cup Form Guide
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