One of three Group 1 mile showdowns at Caulfield Racecourse this Saturday in Melbourne is the 2015 Toorak Handicap, betting tips for the clash detailed below.
A final field of 17 will face off in this year’s $400,000 Group 1 David Jones NBCF Toorak Handicap (1600m) after the early scratching of Amicus for Chris Waller who had the second widest barrier to overcome.
Leading the current Toorak Handicap odds at Ladbrokes.com.au, where you’ll have access to Best Tote or SP + 20% on every single Caulfield race on Saturday’s line-up, is the market mover Disposition ($5.50 into $4.80).
Lee & Anthony Freedman now prepare the former Perth-trained star who was runner-up in the Group 1 Kingston Town Classic (1800m) last summer when still prepared in WA by Grant Williams, and who comes off a second to Stratum Star in the Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield in late September.
Following the Reset four-year-old in Toorak Handicap betting are the likes of the Darren Weir-trained Husson six-year-old Lucky Hussler ($5.50) and his Sir Rupert Clarke winning stablemate Stratum Star ($7) both out to hand their trainer back-to-back wins in the race after the success of Trust In A Gust 12 months ago.
So will the first three in the markets run the Toorak Handicap trifecta on Saturday or is the value in an upset result from the likes of Peter Moody’s recent Caulfield winner over 1700m Kenjorwood ($16) or Waller’s remaining hope Strawberry Boy ($13)?
#2 Stratum Star ($7)
The value looks to be in Weir’s last start Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes winning four-year-old, the stallion prepared by last year’s winning trainer after stablemate Trust In A Gust completed the Sir Rupert – Toorak double. The past three Toorak winners all came off a top three run in the Sir Rupert, so the form is stacking up this year for Startum Star who is also looking to become the seventh four-year-old since 2005 to win. He’s drawn for success in barrier two but rises from 54.5kg to 57kg, which is the challenge. Craig Williams stays on and is after his first win since Barley A Moment (2005).
#4 Strawberry Boy ($13)
Waller’s in-form seven-year-old doesn’t have the barrier luck (16), but three of the past five Toorak winners jumped from double-digits so with the right luck and right ride from four-time Toorak winning jockey Jim Cassidy this veteran is still in it. He comes off back-to-back fourths including the Sir Rupert Clarke where he also had a wide draw (14 of 18) and was beaten just over half a lengths. The step up to the mile is the key as he boasts four wins and a third from six previous 1600m runs, and is also a winner over the Caulfield mile.
#7 Disposition ($4.80)
Favourite in the markets looking to become the third in as many years to win for the punters. Will get things his way from barrier seven, which has produced two winners since 2009 including Solzhenitsyn just two years ago. Has been in top form since arriving in Melbourne and that is tipped to continue with the four-year-old looking to add to his ultra-consistent record (10-5-4-0) on the back of the devastatingly close second when nosed out of the Sir Rupert win last time out. Also gets in well in these weights going up just one kilo to 55kg.
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