Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The last event on a bumper nine race Royal Randwick program on Epsom Handicap Day in Sydney this Saturday is the meeting’s third Group 1 feature, The Metropolitan 2015 form guide and betting preview found below.
There are 14 hopefuls in the mix for this year’s $750,000 Group 1 McGrath Estate Agents Metropolitan (2400m) after the early scratching of one of Chris Waller’s five original acceptors Hawkspur who instead races at Flemington on Sunday in the $300,000 Group 3 The Bart Cummings (2520m).
Waller still has a four strong contingent as Sydney’s best trainer shoots for his third win in the race in five years following victories with The Verminator (2011) and Glencadam Gold (2012).
The Metropolitan betting favourite at Ladbrokes.com.au though comes from outside the dominant Waller stable with the John O’Shea-trained Magic Hurricane ($3.80) tipped to win from the inside alley for the first time since County Tyrone (2004) jumped from barrier one for his win 11 years ago.
Godolphin’s Hurricane Run six-year-old won the Listed Premier’s Cup (1800m) defeating subsequent Group 3 Kingston Town Stakes (2000m) winner Silverball two back before his second to Complacent a fortnight ago in the Group 2 Hill Stakes (2000m).
James McDonald had the ride on 59kg in the Hill Stakes, which hasn’t produced a The Metropolitan winner in over 30 years, and retains the ride this weekend looking for his first win in the mile and a half Sydney Spring Racing Carnival showdown.
There are three other single figure hopes to win this season with the David Hayes & Tom Dabernig-trained import Almoonqith ($7), Waller’s former Doomben Cup winner and Saturday’s 58kg top weight Beaten Up ($7.50) and the Robert Hickmott-trained Chance To Dance ($8.50).
So should you follow the order of The Metropolitan odds when placing your bets online at Ladbrokes.com.au this weekend, or does the race’s form guide and betting history show value in the markets to close the Randwick card?
2015 The Metropolitan Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s The Metropolitan winner was the Chris Waller-trained Opinion (2014) who came off a 10th in the Kingston Town Stakes and jumped from barrier 14 (of 16) carrying 56kg with Tye Angland in the saddle
- Waller also won in 2011 with The Verminator and is back for a third shot this year with: #1 Beaten Up ($7.50), early market mover #2 Junoob ($11), the defending champion #3 Opinion ($21) and #4 Beyond Thankful ($11)
- #3 Opinion is looking to become the first back-to-back The Metropolitan winner since Hayai (1983 – 1984) and this year comes off an 11th in the Hill Stakes to stablemate Preferment
- Along with Waller (21-2-2-0) the other former The Metropolitan winning trainers with a runner this weekend are the race’s most successful trainer Gai Waterhouse (37-8-4-3) shooting for a ninth with #5 Bonfire ($16), David Hayes (5-1-1-0) who trains #7 Almoonqith ($7) in partnership with nephew Tom Dabernig, John O’Shea (1-1-0-0) with the favourite #8 Magic Hurricane ($3.80) and stablemate #14 Havana Cooler ($15), Robert Hickmott (3-1-1-0) with #9 Chance To Dance ($8.50), and Paul Perry (7-1-0-1) with roughie hope #15 Ghost Protocol ($81)
- Last year’s winning barrier (14) was drawn this year by the scratched #6 Hawkspur and now belongs to another Waller hopeful #4 Beyond Thankful
- Since 1983 the most successful The Metropolitan barriers producing six and four winners respectively are 4 and 9 that belong on Saturday to #10 Orbec (4) and #11 Kapour (9)
- There is just one last start winner in this year’s race with #4 Beyond Thankful shooting for three on the trot after wins in the Listed Wyong Cup (2080m) and the Group 3 Newcastle Cup (2300m)
- The Newcastle Cup has produced two of the past four The Metropolitan winners with The Verminator (5th in 2011) and Glencadam Gold (2012) who completed the double for Waterhouse
- Last year’s winning hoop Tye Angland (2-1-0-0) shoots for back-to-back victories this spring on the defending champ #3 Opinion
- Other former The Metropolitan winning jockeys with a ride this weekend are: Glen Boss (10-2-1-1) on #11 Kapour and Hugh Bowman (4-1-0-0) on #4 Beyond Thankful
- Last year’s winner Opinion came out of an unplaced run in the Group 3 Kingston Town Stakes (2000m) and the horses backing up in The Metropolitan out of the event are #13 Maurus (2nd) and #14 Havana Cooler (6th)
- Favourites have a poor recent record in The Metropolitan with just two winners in the past 10 years most recently Glencadam Gold (7/4 in 2012)
- This year the favourite out to break the hoodoo is #8 Magic Hurricane ($3.80)
- The horse with the best Win Rate in the field is #9 Chance To Dance (38%) followed by #13 Maurus (36%)
- The best Place Rate belongs to #13 Maurus (82%) followed by #9 Chance To Dance (81%) and #10 Orbec (73%)
- Horses with the best record over the distance (2400m) are: #8 Magic Hurricane (5-3-0-2), #9 Chance To Dance (8-2-4-0), #10 Orbec (3-2-1-0), #12 Disclaimer (4-2-0-1), #2 Junoob (7-2-1-1), #3 Opinion (7-2-1-1) and #11 Kapour (3-1-2-0)
- Horses with winning form at the track (Randwick) are: #2 Junoob (10-2-2-0), #4 Beyond Thankful (3-2-0-0), #3 Opinion (6-1-2-0) and #8 Magic Hurricane (3-1-1-0)
Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider The Metropolitan 2015 tips to be published shortly.
In the meantime, head over to Ladbrokes.com.au and get ready for access to the hottest weekend racing odds and a $700 bonus bet as a first time depositing player when you quote the code SPRINGBONUS!
2015 The Metropolitan Form Guide
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