Trainer Bjorn Baker is snug about the chances of...
This weekend the feature race meeting in Sydney is Chelmsford Stakes Day at Randwick Racecourse, one of the black-type majors on the program being the 2015 Tramway Stakes – betting tips for which can be found right here.
Running as Randwick Race 7 at 4:25pm (AEST), this year’s $175,000 Group 2 Tattersalls Club Tramway Stakes (1400m) features a quality line-up of 14 starters plus four emergencies still in the mix.
Leading Tramway Stakes betting at Ladbrokes.com.au at an easing quote of $4.20 is the John Thompson-trained Group 1 winner First Seal making her four-year-old debut from the outside alley in this capacity field.
She’s got the horror barrier but the bookies are still taking no chances with this Fastnet Rock mare First Seal who boasts an outstanding record over the 1400m with two wins and a second from her three previous starts at the distance.
A dual Group 1 runner-up in March at Rosehill, she was last seen running sixth in the Queen Of The Turf Stakes at Randwick, which was her only unplaced run from five starts (5-2-2-0) at the track she returns to this weekend.
The other hopefuls under $10 in the latest Tramway Stakes odds this Sydney Spring Racing Carnival are market mover Arabian Gold ($6) who hasn’t won a race in 12 months, Kris Lees’ multiple Group 1 winning mare Lucia Valentina ($8) and last start Warwick Stakes third placed Messene ($8.50).
So can one of the single figure hopes take it out or is there value to be found further down the Tramway Stakes markets from the likes of the Chris Waller-trained European import Flamingo Star ($11), Godolphin’s Lonhro stallion Sweynesse ($11) or emergency in the Chelmsford Stakes at the same meeting It’s Somewhat ($11)?
#8 Sweynesse ($11)
Sweynesse looks a top value upset hope with James McDonald booked to ride the John O’Shea-trained four-year-old who was competitive last campaign during the autumn running second in the Hobartville Stakes and the Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m). He was also fourth when up over 2000m behind the Kiwi raider Volkstok’n’barrell in the Randwick Guineas. He’s got a nice record over the 1400m heading into this (3-2-1-0) and will be improving off the Doncaster failure (19th of 20) when a Soft track in ace company at the end of his prep all added up. Runs well fresh too so another box ticked.
#10 Strawberry Boy ($15)
Waller’s veteran seven-year-old has had nine runs over the 1400m for two wins, three seconds and a third and will appreciate the distance first-up. He’s also won four from seven fresh and was last seen winning back-to-back black-types in Brisbane including a Group 3 over the Doomben mile by over two lengths. Drawn wide but Jim Cassidy is a vet like his mount and the horse is a consistent type at a nice price.
#9 First Seal ($4.20)
The favourite is easing to beat home the boys but she definitely has claims in her delayed return after a foot abscess ruled her out of the Warwick Stakes. She’ll be fit enough to win but just needs luck from the outside alley in a 14-starter field at a track she loves (5-2-2-0) over a distance she should thrive over first-up (3-2-1-0).
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