With two early scratchings from an already diminutive field the betting markets on this afternoon’s The Run To The Rose 2015 in Sydney have undergone a number of notable updates.
Running as Rosehill Race 5 at 3:05pm (AEST), this year’s $175,000 Group 2 MTA NSW Run To The Rose (1200m) originally attracted a final field of seven three-year-olds.
The race roughie Mr Optimistic (barrier two) and Gai Waterhouse’s last start Canterbury winning Redoute’s Choice colt Raphael’s Cat (barrier four), who will instead head to the $200,000 Group 2 Danehill Stakes (1200m) at Flemington on September 12, have since come out of the line-up.
That leaves only five hopefuls in the lead-up race into next month’s $1 million Group 1 Golden Rose Stakes (1400m) back at the track on the same day the Danehill runs in Melbourne as part of Makybe Diva Stakes Day.
Now nearing odds-on territory in The Run To The Rose odds at Ladbrokes.com.au is the Chris Waller-trained Japonisme who has firmed in from $2.70 to $2 to post his fifth win on the trot.
The flying son of Choisir kicked off his winning streak back in early July and has progressed through the ranks before winning his black-type debut last start at Rosehill on August 15 scoring the upset in the Group 3 San Domenico Stakes (1100m).
He gets the run of the race this afternoon with the inside alley and Hugh Bowman in the saddle, Japonisme a likely chance to be freshened-up before returning in November in Melbourne to target the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) on Victoria Derby Day.
The other horses firming to win The Run To The Rose this Sydney Spring Racing Carnival are the John O’Shea-trained Exosphere ($4.60 into $3.50) and Team Snowden’s Redzel ($8.50 into $8) in barrier two with Tommy Berry in the saddle.
One of two youngsters representing the Godolphin stable in the race, Lonhro colt Exosphere won the Group 2 Skyline Stakes (1200m) at Warwick Farm by four lengths in late February before his disappointing 16th to Waterhouse’s now Golden Rose favourite Vancouver in the Group 1 Golden Slipper (1200m).
He hasn’t raced since but has trialled twice including a Sydney win over 809m on August 14.
Nicely-bred Snitzel colt Redzel won on debut at Warwick Farm defeating Japonisme by a notable three lengths back in March before a third to Furnaces in the Group 3 Kindergarten Stakes (1100m) on a Heavy (9) Randwick track.
He returned a fortnight ago in the San Domenico running four lengths back in fifth, an effort he’ll be out to improve on here fitter for the run.
The other two runners are all drifting in their The Run To The Rose odds with Waller’s undefeated Group 1 champ Press Statement ($4.80 out to $7) and Holler ($6 out to $11).
A winner of all three of his runs so far, Hinchinbrook colt Press Statement’s latest win was a three-quarter length effort in the Group 1 JJ Atkins (1600m) at Doomben on June 6.
Holler meanwhile is the big drifter, no love for O’Shea’s Commands colt who is yet to race in black-type company.
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