Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The Hawkesbury Guineas 2015 is one of two Group 3 races rescheduled and running at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday after getting washed out last weekend, and below are our updated betting tips on the showdown for three-year-olds.
Due to run as Rosehill Race 9 at 3:55pm (AEST), there are 10 hopefuls left to face off in the $150,000 Group 3 Blacktown Workers Hawkesbury Guineas (1400m) after the scratching of Gerald Ryan’s smart filly Ygritte who was drawn out in barrier nine.
There are two batting for top spot in the Hawkesbury Guineas betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au now with the Gai Waterhouse-trained Najoom ($3) and Federal ($3.20).
Najoom has now officially been taken out of The 2015 Darley Crown field, for which she was also accepted for this weekend, the Northern Meteor filly last seen running second at Canterbury over 1200m in the wet on April 23.
She’s had five starts for three wins and two seconds to date and looks a top chance to add to that record this weekend in black type company for the first time.
Federal opened at $3.50 but has been backed in early, Sam Clipperton aboard the John O’Shea-trained Medaglia D’Oro gelding who was last seen winning the Listed South Pacific Classic (1400m) on a Heavy (8) Randwick track on April 11.
Also at single figures for the Hawkesbury Guineas win this year are the likes of the Gai Waterhouse-trained market mover Eisenhower ($5) coming off a Canterbury win, the always-honest Press Report ($7) and David Vandyke’s Commands filly Anyaas ($7) who was runner-up over 1400m at Randwick last time out.
So should you stick with the order of the Hawkesbury Guineas odds or is there value to be found in an upset result this weekend?
#2 Federal ($3.20)
He’s no longer the favourite but think his form will stack up better than the new top fancy’s and that he’ll be first to the line scoring his fourth win at start number nine. Was runner-up in the Gosford Guineas two back then enjoyed the 1400m for the black type win at Randwick on a wet track. Handles all types of ground, record at the distance is good (4-2-1-0) and the four weeks between runs shouldn’t be a problem. He’s been good since being gelded and think that’ll continue here.
#8 Press Report ($7)
Plenty of chances for the minor placings in this but think this Lee Curtis-trained local Written Tycoon filly has the goods for a big threat in the finish. She has won just two from 14 starts so far but is on the improve after a fourth in the Group 3 James Carr over 1400m on April 18. Always runs an honest race and think she’s up to this class.
#3 Eisenhower ($5)
Money is coming for Waterhouse’s All Amercian gelding who has won three from four to date so isn’t afraid to be first past the post. Last time out he raced in a Benchmark 70 over 1100m at Canterbury and got the job done by half a length in an impressive effort he’ll only be improving on.
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