The Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival’s topline sprinters get an early chance to bag a Group 1 major this weekend in the BTC Cup 2015, betting tips for the Doomben Racecourse clash detailed below.
There have been two notable scratchings from the original 16-starter field accepted for Saturday’s $500,000 Group 1 BTC Cup (1200m) with the Darren Weir-trained Trust In A Gust and Stuart Kendrick’s Time For War both ruled out of the race.
BTC Cup betting markets however are still dominated by one horse with all the money on the Team Hawkes-trained Top Echelon six-year-old Our Boy Malachi who has won 17 from 19 to date.
He’s on the improve second-up here after winning the Group 3 Hall Mark in Sydney first-up with easy, Tommy Berry getting the ride this Saturday from a gun barrier six draw as the galloper has his first Group 1 run.
Our Boy Malachi is at $2.60 for the win and has been absolutely wound in to the tee having opened as long as $4.
What can beat him? Not much according to the bookies who have just two other runners at single figures now the injured Trust In A Gust misses the show.
Srikandi, third in the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap in Brisbane last winter before her impressive Group 2 Victory Stakes first-up at the Gold Coast a fortnight ago, is the one most likely to score the BTC Cup upset paying $4.40 even from her double digit draw.
Damian Browne, an ace rider on the Brisbane tracks, has the mount on Ciaron Maher’s Dubawi four-year-old mare who has an undefeated Doomben record and is five-from-five at the distance.
Scissor Kick at $8 then is the other best fancied hope in gate three looking to become the third three-year-old in four years to beat home a field of older BTC Cup rivals.
So will the first three in betting at Ladbrokes run the BTC Cup trifecta this weekend or is there an upset on the cards from a better value punt such as the Kiwi visitor Sacred Star ($12) with Group winning form in Brisbane from last winter or the other New Zealand raider El Roca ($15) who hasn’t had a start since a ninth in the 2014 Doncaster mile over 12 months ago?
#15 Srikandi ($4.40)
Don’t think there will be much in the finish but leaning towards the mare here based on what she’s done in Brisbane before. Is undefeated with two black type wins at Doomben where she’ll enjoy returning to this weekend. Far from disgraced when third in Queensland’s richest race to end her winter last campaign and showed she had lost none of the shine when first-up winner of the Group 2 Victory Stakes on the Gold Coast two weeks back, ideal form for this. She’s got the wide barrier to overcome but she’s classy and from the wide gate she’ll have to work for it but think she can do it and score her sixth win from as many starts over the distance.
#8 Our Boy Malachi ($2.60)
He’s the red hot favourite and looking at the form it’s understandable why. He has a blistering Win / Place record and won the Group 3 in Sydney without a worry first-up. Will only be improving on that for his big Group 1 debut on the weekend. Is a six-year-old and that doesn’t bode well but he’s lightly raced for the age and is doing everything right. A late bloomer and is hard to tip against if he gets the good start on the mare from his good barrier 7 (now into 6) draw.
#5 Big Money ($34)
Lots of value on offer for Big Money who at big odds can sneak in for a place at a track he’s got a gun record at. Not drawn for the run in the second widest gate but a big engine can give him enough for a late burst if he doesn’t get caught back too far early. Right age at five to win this, Hall Mark run (9th) was luckless and can finish much closer here back where he’s got the record.
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