Gai Waterhouse’s visiting Sydney-trained filly Regatta Rebel is clear favourite in the markets to win Saturday’s 2015 Ken Russell Memorial Classic at the Gold Coast, betting tips for which are found below.
A bumper field of 16 two-year-olds is engaged for the $125,000 Group 3 Moreton Hire Ken Russell Memorial Classic (1200m) on the opening Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival meet, AD Hollindale Stakes Day.
An early scratching from John O’Shea who runs Sampeah (1) at home in Sydney instead on Saturday sees the race’s sole emergency One More Magic get a run from barrier 12.
Due to run as the Gold Coast Race 6 at 2:42pm (AEST), markets on the Ken Russell at Ladbrokes.com.au feature just the four single figure hopes including Regatta Rebel at $2.30.
Drawn a treat in barrier three for Blake Shinn, the Redoute’s Choice filly has just her second career start here after a close second on debut with flying sectionals behind Furnaces in the Group 3 Kindergarten Stakes (1100m) at Randwick on Heavy track from April 6.
Firmer ground and more distance will both suit here as Waterhouse sets the filly on the Group 1 JJ Atkins path this season.
What can beat her?
The bookies at Ladbrokes say the main danger is Wicked Intent who is firming in now from $8 to $6.
Lots to like about the returning Chris Munce-trained galloper in gate seven for Damian Browne.
Wicked Style colt Wicked Intent has a solid record at the Gold Coast (3-1-1-0) and is a stakes winner thanks to a Listed Phelan Ready win over 1050m at Doomben last December.
His summer also included a Group 3 second over this track and distance in the BJ McLachlan Stakes and his last start was a sixth in the $2 million Magic Millions 2YO Classic back over the 1200m at the Goldie when beaten just two lengths.
The other hopes under $10 for the win are then the Peter & Paul Snowden-trained Denpurr ($7.50) and Look To The Stars ($9) who ran well before a freshen-up when under a length away fifth in the Group 2 Magic Night Stakes (1200m) at Rosehill in mid-March.
So will one of the single figure fancies take it out or will a young roughie score an upset such as the undefeated Blueberry Hill ($10) or even Mick Mair’s last start Sunshine Coast winner The Wildman ($21)?
#1 Wicked Intent ($6)
The class and record at this track and distance supports Munce’s nice colt who has his first run since the Magic Millions Classic sixth. It’s been a notable break between runs but if he comes back as good as he went out he’ll be hard to beat at the Gold Coast over 1200m where he also boats a Group 3 second in a Soft track.
#10 Blueberry Hill ($10)
In gate nine for in-form veteran hoop Jim Cassidy fresh off two recent Sydney Group 1 wins is Liam Birchley’s Myboycharlie filly. She is undefeated with two impressive wins so far, the latest being on a Heavy (10) at the Sunshine Coast by three and a half lengths. She was odds-on that day and double-figures here for the class rise. Any rain and she’ll shorten, and while it is a notable class rise she is on the up so can handle it.
#12 Regatta Rebel ($2.30)
Waterhouse talks her up, but that’s no surprise. Instead look at the good debut on a mud course in Group 3 company. She’ll get a better run here on firmer ground from a good gate so expect her to be right up there throughout and ready to strike in just her second run, which she’ll take even more improvement from.
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