The major race of the weekend is the Gold Coast’s AD Hollindale Stakes 2015 for the promising winter stayers, betting tips on the Doomben Cup lead-up found below.
Due to jump as Race 8 at 3:52pm (AEST), this year’s $358,000 Group 1 Sky Thoroughbred Central A.D. Hollindale Stakes (1800m) field is at capacity and features first emergency Leebaz (4) after the early scratching of last start Mornington Cup winner Banca Mo (5).
Seven of the horses in the mix are at single figures in the latest Hollindale Stakes betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au including the $4.60 favourite Arabian Gold to be ridden by Damien Oliver from gate six.
Also right up the Hollindale Stakes odds are the likes of four-time Group 1 winning mare Silent Achiever ($5), Hooked ($6.50) in gate two for Hugh Bowman and the third emergency Pornichet ($6.50) who the bookies are taking no chances with.
So will one of the top fancies salute for the punters in the big one on the Gold Coast in the opening Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival meet or is there an upset on the cards from the likes of one of Waller’s four in the field including his veteran market mover I’m Imposing backed right in from $41 to $18 for the win?
#13 Silent Achiever ($5)
While the other mare Arabian Gold has claims following a solid Doncaster Mile sixth where she ran on well, surprised that the Roger James-trained Kiwi Silent Achiever isn’t favourite. Happy to take her at the $5 then for her Queensland debut with all reports being she’s enjoying her time in the Sunshine State. Class proven by her four previous Group 1 wins, and her last start sixth in The BMW in Sydney wasn’t as bad as it looked. In a wide draw but there is time to overcome and she’s beaten better than this so if she’s at her best look out.
#5 Hawkspur ($8)
In-form Sydney horseman Chris Waller has a quartet of chances as he chases a 2015 Hollindale win in a race he prepared back-to-back winners Metal Bender (2010) and My Kingdom Of Fife (2011). The shortest priced of his lot is Kingston Town Classic winner Moriarty ($7.50) who should be improving second-up but we like Hawkspur at $8. Drawn a treat in barrier three he has the Jim Cassidy factor, ‘The Pumper’ having won the Sydney Cup on Waller’s roughie Grand Marshal two weekends ago before an All Aged upset on Dissident last Saturday. Winner of the 2013 Queensland Derby Hawkspur hasn’t won many since but his two latest were Group 3 thirds over the 2000m at Rosehill behind some class rivals so think he’s ready to strike again.
#10 I’m Imposing ($18)
So many genuine place chances but we’re going to stick with Waller and follow the money trail on his veteran nine-year-old, the only one of the stablemates without a previous Queensland run. Opened at a juicy $41 but has been smashed and now sits under $20. Drawn one outside of Silent Achiever, who he could follow into the race, and is out to improve on a George Ryder 10th over 1500m on March 21. That run was from barrier 14 of 14 and he was beaten under five lengths first-up. Second-up will go better with more metres to make up the ground, and was in-form last prep including his Group 3 Summer Cup (2000m) win at Randwick on Boxing Day.
Get behind our AD Hollindale Stakes 2015 tips and if your first Fixed Win bet runs 2nd or 3rd on Saturday get your money back as a bonus bet!