Last year’s Stradbroke Handicap winner Impending...
A lucrative race day is scheduled at Perth’s Ascot Racecourse on the weekend with one of Saturday’s two features being the WATC Derby 2015, betting tips for the three-year-olds’ feature found below.
Due to jump as Ascot Race 7 at 4:20pm (WA time), the $400,000 Group 2 Schweppes W.A.T.C. Derby (2400m) has this autumn drawn a dozen hopefuls.
Markets at Ladbrokes.com.au feature a trio of single figure hopes clearly led by flying WA Oaks winning filly Delicacy who pays $2 to beat home the boys.
Grant Williams’ daughter of Al Maher is in flying form coming off a trio of black-type wins over increasing distances at the track including her all-too-easy two and a half length win in the Group 3 WA Oaks (2400m) on March 28.
She did it from barrier seven (of 10) with William Pike aboard that day and looks set to complete the Oaks – Derby double with Pike staying on and the two drawn a treat with the inside alley.
Her major rivals according to the WATC Derby odds are then Boom Time ($5) in barrier four and coming off a win in the Listed Melvista Stakes (2200m) at Ascot on March 28, and Peter Moody’s WA Oaks runner-up Spectacular Vision ($8.50) with the outside barrier to overcome in the Melbourne raider’s second WA start.
So have the bookies got it right?
Will the top three in WATC Derby betting run the trifecta, or is there value outside the single figure hopes in the likes of Melvista Stakes runner-up Say Geronimo ($10), the Lou Luciani-trained improver Tonto ($11) or even market mover Halo Express ($17 into $15) also representing trainer of the favourite Williams?
#9 Delicacy ($2)
She’s even money but worth the punt based on her stellar lead-up form and the below average depth in this year’s Derby. Barrier one suits and Pike is Perth’s premier hoop so him sticking on says something about this filly’s class. She comes off wins in the 1000 Guineas, Natasha Stakes and then the WA Oaks over this track and distance, so the mile and a half and Ascot hold no fears. She did it by two and a half lengths in her first Group win and now the stars are aligning for her to do it again and make it four from four, and take her up over $800,000 in prize money.
#4 Boom Time ($5)
Sticking with the in-form runners and the last-start winners, Trevor Andrews’ Flying Spur colt Boom Time winning by one and three-quarter lengths over just 200m shorter in the Melvista Stakes last time out. He’s on the improve, loving more distance with each start and from a nice barrier four draw with jockey Shaun McGruddy staying on is a definite challenger for the nearly odds-on favourite filly.
#3 Say Geronimo ($10)
Also coming out of the traditional Derby lead-up, the Melvista, is runner-up Say Geronimo who gets another crack at Boom Time this weekend. The flashy grey Mastercraftsman colt has won just one of his 11 starts but seems to like getting out further as shown in his last start effort when Patrick Carbery rode him from gate five. Carbery stays on here, the Wally Mitchell-trained galloper drawn a little wider in seven ready to make an impact over the mile and a half.
After you’ve locked in your Sydney Group 1 tips for Randwick on Saturday at Best Tote or SP + 20% through Ladbrokes.com.au, check out their Perth racing odds for the weekend too and clean up across the country!
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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