A super line-up of the season’s best three-year-old fillies is set for Saturday’s 2015 Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill Racecourse, betting tips for The BMW Day support act found below.
Fourteen fillies make up the field for this year’s $400,000 Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m), the red hot favourite of which is John Thompson’s Flight Stakes winner First Seal.
The daughter of Fastnet Rock is odds-on at $1.95 through Ladbrokes.com.au to win her second Group 1 here after narrowly being defeated by her older rivals when a nose away second in the Coolmore Classic last time out.
She’s back against her own age on Saturday but is up to 2000m, a distance she showed she could handle in the spring when taking on the boys and running second to Hampton Court in the Spring Champion Stakes.
Her biggest threats according to the bookies in their Vinery Stud Stakes betting markets are the Chris Waller-trained Winx ($6.50) coming off a win in the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) at the track on March 14, the Gai Waterhouse-trained Adrift in from $10 to $8 with Damien Oliver riding and Crown Oaks winner Set Square ($9.50) drawn wide in barrier 12.
So will the favourite continue the trend of top fancies saluting for the punters or will there be an upset Vinery Stud Stakes result on the card this weekend?
#1 First Seal ($1.95)
The odds-on price is deserving in this case and even though she’s short it is hard to see First Seal get beat again after her devastatingly close call in the Coolmore Classic last time out. Proven Group 1 winner, ran second over this distance against the boys in the spring so the metres are a non-issue and favourites have won five of the past 10 editions of the race so that bodes well for her. The Coolmore produced last year’s Vinery winner (Lucia Valentina) and while barrier seven ensures she’ll work for it, the track is a goodie for her and the lead-up form is cracking.
#8 Adrift ($8)
The money is coming for Waterhouse’s Zabeel filly and it’s not hard to see why. A win by this nicely-bred improver, who has won three from six to date, wouldn’t surprise some especially as she’ll be sharper with the blinkers going on. Gets a better gate than the favourite in barrier five and barriers are going to be very important here. She’s beaten First Seal before first-up in the Light Fingers Stakes so the class is here and is prepared by the only trainer on Saturday to have scored a previous Vinery Stud Stakes win.
#2 Set Square ($9.50)
Just two fillies in the race have enjoyed a previous win over 2000m and Set Square is one of them. She’s yet to finish out of the money and has a 50% strike rate with three wins from six starts so far. One of them was over this distance at Caulfield in October, and another saw her beat Thunder Lady by a length and a half in the Crown Oaks over 2500m in Melbourne. She’s yet to race in Sydney but has been running well again this time including a third to the promising Noble Protector in the Group 3 Matron Stakes last time out. She’s drawn wide in 12 and needs to handle the opposite way of racing but shouldn’t be discounted.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change