Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Group One racing returns to Melbourne on Saturday in the form of the CF Orr Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield Racecourse.
15 talented horses are set to contest the $400,000 feature race, half of which are resuming from successful spring campaigns and half of which have a fitness advantage.
Just three runners are offering single figure odds in the betting market at Ladbrokes.com.au, led by Dissident at $3.20.
The Peter Moody-trained horse is also the market mover of the field, with his price shortening from $3.80 following plenty of support.
Dissident is already a three-time Group One winner and has won over the track and distance. Is that enough to justify the horse’s favouritism? Or will he be undone like last time out?
Make sure to check out our comprehensive 2015 CF Orr Stakes form guide to get a better understanding of who to back. In the meantime, check out our top three betting tips below.
#2 Dissident ($3.20)
The Peter Moody-trained horse’s return to the track didn’t go as planned last month, just scrapping into third place in the Group 2 Australia Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley, however a return to Caulfield and the increase in trip should all equate to a win in the CF Orr Stakes. Dissident has finished first two in all four of his starts over 1200 metres and has placed in four of his seven trips to Caulfield. He won the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) first-up in the spring over the track & distance so is expected to run well. Favourites fare very well in the CF Orr Stakes, with all past five winners leading the betting, and Moody won last year’s race with Moment Of Change.
#12 Spillway ($11)
One of two horses saddled by David Hayes & Tom Dabernig in the CF Orr Stakes, Spillway will enjoy the inside jump from barrier one with Michael Walker. Inside barriers can be a distinct advantage over 1400m at Caulfield, considering the short run to the first turn, and barrier one has brought home the most winners since 1983 (6). The five-year-old horse just missed out on placings in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) and Group 2 Zipping Classic (2400m) during the spring but generally runs well first-up. Not to mention, resuming stayers generally perform well. Spillway ran second in his only start over the track & distance of the CF Orr so could easily do it once more.
#3 Mourinho ($15)
Peter Gelagotis’ seven-year-old gelding won the Australia Stakes on January 24 in an upset victory last time out and is paying lucrative enough odds to do it again. Having never raced over 1200 metres before last month, Mourinho delivered a valiant effort to win from Moonee Valley track specialist It Is Written and odds-on favourite Dissident. Four of the last ten CF Orr Stakes winners have come via the Australia Stakes and the gelding will get a good jump from barrier three. Mourinho also won over 1400m in the Group 3 Tab Rewards Stakes (1400m) last autumn.
If you want to take a punt on any of our 2015 CF Orr Stakes betting tips, make sure to open your Ladbrokes.com.au online betting account today. Don’t stress, if your 1st fixed odds win bet runs 2nd or 3rd, you’ll get your stake back as bonus bet!
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