2014 Festival Stakes Betting Tips

The Listed Festival Stakes (1500m) is one of three black-type races running at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday. There are 14 talented middle distance runners taking the field, with betting tips set out below.

The John O'Shea-trained Generalife enjoyed three Group placings in the spring and is our tip to win the Festival Stakes.

The John O’Shea-trained Generalife enjoyed three Group placings in the spring and is our tip to win the Festival Stakes. Photo by Steve Hart.

Five of those 14 are offering single figure odds in the betting market at Ladbrokes.com.au, led by Sir Moments at $4.40.

The Steven O’dea-trained gelding is the market mover of field, seeing his price shorten from $5.50 after serious interest from punters. The four-year-old will have to overcome a wide start from barrier 11 with Timothy Bell in the saddle.

The Brisbane-based Sir Moments is a last start winner of the Super Starfish Open (1400m) at the Gold Coast on November 15 but has yet to race over 2000m so is untested on the trip.

Generalife was the previous favourite at $4.80 before being overtaken by Sir Moments. The three other single figure hopefuls are Strawberry Boy ($8), Mouro and Heart Testa (both on $9.50).

Will Sir Moments justify the overwhelming faith given to him by punters or will one of the nine horses offering lucrative double digit odds cause an upset?

1st

#5 Generalife ($4.80)

John O’Shea’s five-year-old gelding opened the Festival Stakes as favourite before being overtaken by Sir Moments. However he remains our pick to win the $100,000 race on Saturday. Generalife has finished in the placings his last three times out, all at group level of racing. He has third in the Group 3 Moonga Stakes (1400m) second up in the spring and again in the Group 3 Yellowglen Stakes (1400m). He was a fast finishing runner-up last time out in the Group 3 Kevin Heffernan Stakes (1300m) at Sandown a fortnight ago. The gelding has won three of his five starts at Rosehill and finished third in his only run over 1500m. Will get a good start from barrier four carrying 57kg, three kilos less than top weight Monton.

2nd

#1 Monton ($11)

Speaking of Monton, the eight-year-old gelding has seen his support wane over the past couple of days after drifting out from $8.50. He will also carry the top weight of 60kg and jump wide from barrier 10 however he’s still a good betting option in our opinion, especially at his currently double digit price. Monton has heaps of experience over the track and distance (8:2-1-1) and won the Sydney Markets Filante Handicap over 1500m at Rosehill just two starts ago. The win was also sandwiched between two second placings, including in the Listed Ladies Day Cup (1400m) on November 6. Despite carrying the top weight of 60kg, this is actually a one and a half kilo drop for the gelding in his last four starts. All signs point to a surprise good run from Monton.

3rd

#10 I’m Imposing ($18)

The nine-year-old gelding is one of two horses representing Chris Waller in the Festival Stakes and offers punters a great betting prospect at $18 to win and $5.10 to place. He will jump from barrier six with Tye Angland in the saddle and carry just 55.5kg. I’m Imposing has a good record over the track and distance, finishing in the first three in all five of his 1500m races at Rosehill. He ran second to Monton in the Filante Handicap last time out.

Do you agree with our 2014 Festival Stakes betting tips? Back them at Ladbrokes.com.au today and you’ll receive up to $100 in a bonus match on your first bet.

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