Stakes Day at Flemington on Saturday will round out the action of the 2014 Melbourne Cup Carnival, with five Group races running throughout the day.
One of those races is the Group 1 Matriarch Stakes (2000m) or Momentum Energy Stakes, which sees a maximum field of mares taking on the middle-distance race. 16 mares plus four emergencies have declared for the race, but with no scratchings as of yet it looks like Gold To Go, In Masquerade, Terai, and Melaleuca won’t be running.
The Nigel Blackiston-trained Suavito is the market favourite at Ladbrokes.com.au, offering a price of $4.80 after winning the Group 3 Eliza Park International Stakes (1600m) last time out. Market mover Scratchy Bottom isn’t far off at $6, continuing to shorten from his double digit original price of $10.
Will the favourites justify their prices and win the 2014 Matriarch Stakes? Or with such a big field, will an outsider with lucrative double figure odds slip through and take home an upset win?
It might be hard to choose a winner from such a large field, check out our betting tips below to get an idea of who to put your money on.
#13 Amanpour ($7.50)
Gai Waterhouse’s mare is set to jump from barrier 10 (into 8 after the emergencies are withdrawn) with Tommy Berry in the saddle. Both trainer and jockey missed out on a run in the 2014 Melbourne Cup after The Offer was scratched, so will be ready to go in the Matriarch Stakes. Her recent form is great, finishing first two in all three of her spring starts, including a runner-up finish in the Mares Handicap on Tuesday, in which she was just a nose off the winner. She’s gradually made the step up in distance from 1200m to 1550m to 1700m over the last two months and will easily transition to the 2000m distance of the Matriarch Stakes.
#10 Reckless Assassin ($51)
John Sadler’s five-year-old mare is offering a fantastic price for punters, offering a win price of $51 or $10.50 to place. Though she has disappointed in her last two starts, Reckless Assassin will relish the step back up in distance. She has had four starts over 2000m, winning three including the Trevor Dray & William Nield Handicap in August. She was second in the Moonee Valley Handicap (1600m) first up this spring before finishing bottom three in the Eliza Park International Stakes. She is clearly much better suited to the distance of the Matriarch and should finish much better with a great start from barrier three. Is also set to carry up to 3.5kg less than her rivals.
#2 Suavito ($4.80)
This four-year-old is the favourite to win the Matriarch after winning the Eliza Park International Stakes last time out however her only other start over the 2000m distance was in April’s Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) in which she never looked like running into the finish. She also never left the barriers in the Group 2 Blazer Stakes (1400m) on October 4, for which she was the favourite. However her recent form indicates that was just a one-off.
If you agree with our 2014 Matriarch Stakes betting tips get behind them at Ladbrokes.com.au today.
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