There are now 22 horses left in the mix for the Melbourne Cup 2014, odds on the remaining stayers still lead by the easing Japanese-trained Admire Rakti.
The top fancy in this year’s $6.2 million Group 1 Emirates Melbourne Cup (3200m), due to jump at 3:00pm (AEDT) as Flemington Race 7, is out from $4.80 to $6 through Ladbrokes.com.au despite two early scratchings from the ‘Race That Stops a Nation’.
Yesterday saw owner Lloyd Williams lose his outside chance Sea Moon from the Melbourne Cup field and then this morning the Saeed Bin Suroor-trained European Cavalryman came out with a leg injury.
While competitors are dropping off, the Tomoyuki Umeda-trained Admire Rakti is growing in value in Melbourne Cup betting with punters wary of his 58.5kg top weight.
The Melbourne Cup form shows you have to go back to 1975 with Think Big to find the last Melbourne Cup winner to carry that weight to victory.
The Heart’s Cry stallion is the deserving top weight however after carrying half a kilo less to a smart win in his Australian debut in the Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m) last time out.
The four other single figure chances in the current Melbourne Cup odds are then:
- #3 Fawkner ($8 into $7.50) – Money coming after Tom Waterhouse tipped this Robert Hickmott-trained galloper. Lloyd Williams’ sole chance of a fifth win in the race and his second in three years after Green Moon (2012). Gun barrier nine (now into eight) draw with Nicholas Hall to ride. Set for this race after a Caulfield Cup win last year and was sixth. Travelling better this time in according to the stable and comes off a good Cox Plate second, the form of which often stacks up in the Melbourne Cup.
- #22 Lucia Valentina ($7 out to $7.50) – Deserving shortie in the markets after tracking well towards this all season. The four-year-old mare won the Turnbull Stakes two back then was far from disgraced when a luckless third from a wide run in the Caulfield Cup. Last mare to win was Makybe Diva and four-year-olds have an ace record. She’ll love barrier two here and the 53kg makes her a flying chance.
- #5 Protectionist ($7 out to $8) – Little bit of a drifter in the markets but still plenty to like about Andreas Wohler’s German stayer who is into barrier 10 with Ryan Moore aboard. Last Melbourne Cup winner from gate 10 with Japans’ Delta Blues (2006) and his slashing fourth in the Herbert Power was excellent. Will improve off that getting up in distance after a win in August’s Group 2 Prix Kergorlay (3000m) in France which produced both Dunaden (2011) and Americain (2010) for their Melbourne Cup victories.
- #24 Signoff (Steady at $8) – Lots to like about the big Lexus Stakes win at the track on Saturday that earned this Darren Weir-trained Authorzied five-year-old an 11th hour call-up into the Melbourne Cup field. Was finishing strongly with 56.5kg that day and goes right down to 51.5kg, half a kilo more than his allocation to allow for ‘The Magic Man’ Joao Moreira to stay on. He’s on fire, the horse is on the improve and he should get the distance.
While not at single figures just yet there’s also been plenty of money coming in for the Johnny Murtagh-trained Mutual Regard, Damien Oliver’s mount right in from $13 to $10.
Jumping from 11 after the scratchings, which only produced a winner in 2010 with Americain, the Hernando gelding is looking to become the fifth straight six-year-old champion in the race and hasn’t run since an Ebor Handicap victory on August 23.
See below for the up-to-date Melbourne Cup odds 2014 and follow the money trail into Race 7 to clean-up!
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