Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Are you a novice when it comes to selecting the Melbourne Cup winner on the first Tuesday of November each year? Don’t stress! The team of tipsters at Races.com.au can help you out pick the horse most likely in this year’s Melbourne Cup field so you can lock in the winning 2014 Melbourne Cup Tips today!
The $6.2 million Group 1 Emirates Melbourne Cup (3200m) is known around the word as the ‘Race That Stops a Nation’ and this afternoon at Flemington Racecourse the handicap clash will do just that at 3:00pm (AEDT).
Due to jump as Race 7 on the program the field is down to 22 horses with the Robert Hickmott-trained Sea Moon (elevated temperature) and Saeed Bin Suroor’s UK raider Cavalryman (leg) both coming out.
With such a high class line-up of local and international staying talent it can be tough to get through the full Melbourne Cup form guide, or if you’re a bit of a dummy when it comes to tipping, even understanding what all those figures and facts mean!
If you just want to enjoy a once a year flutter on the Melbourne Cup, as is the Aussie tradition, never fear we’re here to help.
Don’t know your barrier draws from your kitchen draws?
Unsure why you don’t see Black Caviar lining up in the Melbourne Cup field?
Then our dummies guide to picking the Melbourne Cup 2014 winner is for you.
See below for the things every punter must and must not do when you work out who to back and who to sack on Cup Day.
Melbourne Cup Tips – What NOT to Do
Don’t back #15 Precedence – He might be prepared by the mighty Bart Cummings who holds the Melbourne Cup training record of 12 winners but he’s comes in from barrier 20 to 18 with the two scratchings which has never produced a winner.
Don’t back a raider that hasn’t run in Australia this season – there have been five northern hemisphere-trained Melbourne Cup winners over the years but only one – Vintage Crop (1993) – didn’t have a previous run down under; this year that rules out #4 Red Cadeaux, #9 Royal Diamond, #10 Gatewood, #11 Mutual Regard, #13 Willing Foe and #14 My Ambivalent.
Don’t back #18 Au Revoir – He wears the most unsuccessful Melbourne Cup saddlecloth in history with #18 producing just one winner.
Melbourne Cup Tips – What You SHOULD Do
Do get on a horse that ran (and lost) in the race the year before – Last year Fiorente won the Melbourne Cup after finishing second to Green Moon in 2012. Before him the last loser to back-up a year later and take it out was Brew (1999,2000) and before that it was Tawriffic (1988, 1989); this year that brings into the mix #4 Red Cadeaux (2nd) and #3 Fawkner (6th).
Do back a horse ridden by Damien Oliver or Glen Boss – both jockeys share the modern day record of three Melbourne Cup victories and this year shoot for a fourth with #11 Mutual Regard (Oliver) and #12 Who Shot Thebarman (Boss); of the two Oliver looks the better bet with Mutual Regard ($10) a market mover and his hoop having won last year with Fiorente while Boss’s three wins were all on Makybe Diva (2003 – 2005).
Do back a Lloyd Williams-owned horse – Williams has won four Melbourne Cups in the past 30 years most recently with Green Moon (2012) and is down to one chance this year with #3 Fawkner ($7.50).
Do get behind #4 Red Cadeaux and #12 Who Shot Thebarman – They carry the equal most successful saddlecloth numbers with 11 winners a piece.
Check the form on #11 Mutual Regard – He drew barrier 12 but comes into 11 with the scratchings which has produced the most Melbourne Cup winners in history (seven).
Do back a five-year-old – Five-year-old entires and geldings have won 40 times over the years; that brings into contention in 2014 #5 Protectionist, #18 Au Revoir and #24 Signoff.
Another reason to like #3 Fawkner – The Cox Plate has provided the final lead-up for more Melbourne Cup winners than any other race in the past decade and Fawkner (2nd) is the only horse to come via the WFA classic this year.
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