Saturday afternoon the Cox Plate 2014 will steal the spotlight at Moonee Valley Racecourse and with a supercharged field of genuine hopes below we take a look at the history, form guide, facts and statistics on the weight-for-age feature to uncover the value in the markets.
There are a capacity 14 starters facing off in this year’s $3 million Group 1 W.S. Cox Plate (2000m) with no scratchings from the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival unlike last weekend’s Caulfield Cup where four came out before jump.
It’s a red hot Cox Plate field this year too with the betting markets at Ladbrokes.com.au led by Robert Hickmott’s 2013 Caulfield Cup winner Fawkner.
The Reset seven-year-old has been set for this race, as well as the Melbourne Cup on the first Tuesday of November, and has been tracking perfectly with a lead-up win in the Caulfield Stakes last time out.
He also was a winner in the Cox Plate barrier draw with barrier four but has eased out from $4 to $4.60 to hand connections with their first win in the classic.
Also under $10 in the markets are the likes of Adian O’Brien’s Group 1 winning Irish raider Adelaide ($6.50) kept safe in betting for his Australian race debut, the David Payne-trained Criterion ($7) out to become the fourth four-year-old in five years to win, and the Chris Waller-trained Sacred Falls who should get a gun run from the in-form Zac Purton sitting just off the pace likely to be set by front running track specialist The Cleaner ($15).
Earlier in the week Races.com.au published our 2014 Cox Plate Form Guide & Facts post and now we take a deeper look into the historical facts on this exciting showdown to see where history points in the Ladbrokes.com.au markets this year!
2014 Cox Plate Facts
Cox Plate Favourites
- From 1979 – 1990 the Cox Plate favourites had an outstanding record with 10 of the 12 favourites saluting for the punters including Dulcify (1979) and Better Loosen Up (1990)
- The only non-favourites to score an upset during that time were Strawberry Road (11/2 in 1983) and Rising Prince (7/1 in 1985)
- Recent Cox Plate history shows however that the golden era of the favourites has been long since over
- Since Better Loosen Up in 1990 just five favourites or equal-favourites have won in the past 23 years
- Only 2 favourites have won in the past 10 years too with the odds-on duo So You Think (1/2 in 2010) and Makybe Diva (1/1 in 2005) who started even money nine years ago
- Following these two the next shortest-priced Cox Plate betting favourites were Whobegotyou (2009) and Helmet (2011) who both jumped at $2.80 and were out of the money finishing sixth and eighth respectively
- Other beaten favourites in recent years included Miss Finland ($4 in 2007) who ran fourth and It’s A Dundeel ($4 in 2013) when eighth behind upset winner Shamus Award ($20)
- Two years ago the Robert Hickmott-trained Green Moon ($5), stable mate of this year’s Cox Plate favourite Fawkner, was one of the longest-priced Cox Plate favourites in history running seventh
- The only other two single-figure Cox Plate winners outside the favourites in the past 10 years were El Segundo ($7 in 2007) and Ocean Park ($6 in 2012)
Cox Plate Lead-Ups
- The Caulfield Stakes has produced the most Cox Plate winners in the past 30 years than any other lead-up race with 10 champions coming via the 2000m Group 1 race
- All 10 of those Cox Plate winners ran first four in the Caulfield Stakes
- Six completed the Caulfield Stakes – Cox Plate double
- This year the Caulfield Stakes winner Fawkner is looking to become the seventh
- The other top four Caulfield Stakes graduates backing up in Saturday’s Cox Plate are then: Criterion (2nd), Side Glance (3rd) and Sacred Falls (4th)
- The next best fancied of those in the Cox Plate odds is Criterion ($7) followed by Sacred Falls ($7.50) and Side Glance ($26)
Cox Plate Back-Ups
- Only two horses were beaten in a Cox Plate before coming back to win the following year in the past 20 years with Fields Of Omagh (2006) and El Segundo (2007)
- This year three horses are out to be the next with Happy Trails ($12), Foreteller ($34) and Side Glance ($26) who ran second, fourth and sixth respectively behind Shamus Award 12 months ago
- Cox Plate Double
- As mentioned Fawkner ($4.60) is looking to become the seventh horse in the past 30 years to complete the Caulfield Stakes – Cox Plate double
- Sacred Falls ($7.50) is looking to become just the second horse to win the George Main Stakes – Cox Plate double in history joining Kingston Town who did it twice (1981 and 1982)
- 11 of the past Australian Derby winners to attempt a Cox Plate win all failed with the most recent to complete the double that Criterion ($7) vies for this weekend being Bonecrusher (1986)
Cox Plate Ages
- Shamus Award won as a three-year-old last year and this year the 3YOs in the mix are Almalad ($31), Sweynesse ($16) and Wandjina ($34)
- Before him three four-year-olds won on the trot with Ocean Park (2012), Pinker Pinker (2011) and So You Think (2010)
- This year the only Australian-trained four-year-old in the race is Criterion ($7)
- Adelaide ($6.50) is a southern-hemisphere four-year-old but races in Ireland as a three-year-old
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2014 Cox Plate Form