2014 Caulfield Cup Form Guide & Betting Preview

October 15, 2014

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2014 Caulfield Cup Form Guide & Betting Preview

On Saturday Melbourne will host the first of the ‘Big Three’ spring majors with the Caulfield Cup 2014 taking centre stage, a detailed form guide analysis and betting preview for which is detailed below.

2014 Caulfield Cup favourite Lucia Valentina

Lucia Valentina is the firming favourite for Saturday’s 2014 Caulfield Cup in Melbourne. Photo: Steve Hart.

There are 18 confirmed starters plus four emergencies lying in wait making up the field for this year’s $3 million Group 1 Crown Golden Ale Caulfield Cup (2400m), the classic to run as Race 9 jumping at 5:40pm (AEDT).

Yesterday afternoon the Caulfield Cup barrier draw took place with the favourite Lucia Valentina drawing barrier 12 and firming in the Caulfield Cup odds from $4.80 to $4.60.

She will come into barrier 10 if all four emergencies come out before Caulfield Cup Day which produced last year’s Caulfield Cup winner Fawkner.

The only other Caulfield Cup hope under $10 is then the firming Bande ($9 into $8), the Japanese raider in barrier 10 with the possibility of coming into nine which last produced a winner in 2005 with Railings.

Other notable Caulfield Cup horses include Japan’s other representative Admire Rakti ($10) in barrier eight, Chris Waller’s The Metropolitan winner Junoob ($14) with barrier 15 and last year’s runner-up Dandino ($15) who is still in the top half of betting despite a wide barrier 22 (into 18) draw.

The outside gate produced the French-trained Dunaden to win in 2012 but before that the last hasn’t Caulfield Cup to jump from barrier 18 was Lord Reims back in 1987.

That’s what the Caulfield Cup betting markets have to say, but what about the form and history of this great staying showdown?

Having gone over the full Caulfield Cup field, form guide and statistics below are our must know facts so you can back a winner online at Ladbrokes.com.au this Saturday!

2014 Caulfield Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats

Last Year’s Form

  • Last year’s Caulfield Cup winner was the Robert Hickmott-trained Fawkner (6YO) who jumped from barrier 10 carrying 55kg with Nicholas Hall aboard on the back of a Turnbull Stakes third
  • This year trainer Robert Hickmott and owner Lloyd Williams are back with two chances in #3 Green Moon ($26) and #4 Sea Moon ($61)
  • Last year’s winning barrier 10 was drawn this year by #4 Bande ($8) but will belong to the race favourite #15 Lucia Valentina ($4.60) if the four emergencies fail to get a run
  • Last year’s winning hoop Nicholas Hall is without a ride this year

Caulfield Cup Barrier Form

  • As mentioned Fawkner jumped from barrier 10 to win last year which has produced three winners since 1983
  • The most successful barrier in that time has been nine with five winners drawn this year by #8 Hawkspur ($19) but will belong to #5 Bande (10) if the final emergency fails to gain a start
  • Along with barrier 10 the other barriers, and the horses drawn in them this year, to produce three winners in the past 31 years are: barrier 2 (#22e Renew), barrier 3 (#18 Gris Caro), barrier 5 (#13 Stipulate), barrier 7 (#10 Moriarty) and barrier 13 (#12 Dear Demi)
  • Caulfield Cup barriers with no wins since 1983, and the horses out to break the hoodoo this year, are then: barrier 1 (#7 Seismos), barrier 8 (#1 Admire Rakti), barrier 12 (#15 Lucia Valentina) and barrier 14 (#21e Unchain My Heart)

Lead-Up Form

  • Last year’s winner Fakwner came off a third in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (1800m) at Flemington while third placegetter Dear Demi also came via the Turnbull (8th)
  • Fawkner isn’t shooting for back-to-back wins by #12 Dear Demi ($17) returns coming off a seventh in last Saturday’s Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m), won by the now Cox Plate-bound Fawkner
  • This year horses coming via the Turnbull Stakes are Lucia Valentina (1st), Lidari (2nd), first emergency Brambles (3rd), Stipulate (5th), The Offer (6th), Hawkspur (10th), Gris Caro (12th), Happy Trails (14th) and Green Moon (15th)
  • Along with #15 Lucia Valentina the other last-start winners are #4 Bande (Listed Sapporo Nikkei, 2600m, Japan, 10/08/2014), #7 Seismos (Group 3 Geoffrey Freer Stakes, 2700m, Great Britain, 16/08/2014), #9 Junoob (Group 1 The Metropolitan, 2400m, Randwick, 04/10/2014), #10 Moriarty (Group 3 Craven Plate, 2000m, Randwick, 04/10/2014), #11 Who Shot Thebarman (Group 3 The Bart Cummings, 2520m, Flemington, 04/10/2014) and #17 Big Memory (Group 2 Herbert Power Stakes, 2400m, Caulfield, 11/10/2014)

Caulfield Cup Jockeys

  • Craig Williams has ridden two of the past three Caulfield Cup winners with Dunaden (2012) and Southern Speed (2011) and is in the mix again this year with the widely-drawn #2 Dandino ($15)
  • Damien Oliver is the most successful Caulfield Cup jockey since 1983 with four winners in Sky Heights (1999), Doriemus (1995), Paris Lane (1994) and Mannerism (1992) – on Saturday Oliver rides #8 Hawkspur ($19)

Internationals

  • The last international Caulfield Cup winner was Dunaden (2012) and before him All The Good (2008)
  • This year there is four international hopes with #1 Admire Rakti ($10), #2 Dandino ($15), #5 Bande ($8) and #7 Seismos ($21)

Weights

  • The last top weight to win was Duanden (58kg) in 2012 and before him Northerly (58kg) in 2002
  • This year the 58kg top weight belongs to #1 Admire Rakti ($10) from Japan
  • Light weight chances also have a good recent record with both Southern Speed (2011) and Descarado (2010) carrying 52.5kg to victory
  • Two confirmed starters have 52kg this year with #17 Big Memory ($26) and #18 Gris Caro ($31)

Win / Place Statistics

  • #11 Who Shot Thebarman (57%) boasts the highest Win Rate followed by #5 Bande (42%), #15 Lucia Valentina (42%), #4 Sea Moon (35%) and #9 Junoob (35%)
  • Four horses then share boasting rights for the best Place Rate with #11 Who Shot Thebarman, #18 Gris Caro, #19e Brambles and #20e Araldo all on 71% – followed by the Japanese-trained duo #5 Bande (67%) and #1 Admire Rakti (65%)

Track / Distance Statistics

  • The only previous winners at Caulfield Racecourse are: #4 Sea Moon (2-1-0-0), #13 Stipulate (3-1-0-1), #14 Lidari (4-1-0-0), #17 Big Money (1-1-0-0) and #18 Gris Caro (1-1-0-0)
  • Horses with the best form over the distance (2400m) are: #4 Sea Moon (7-4-1-0), #5 Bande (5-3-0-1), #2 Dandino (20-4-8-0), #9 Junoob (6-3-1-1), #6 The Offer (3-2-0-0), #14 Lidari (3-2-0-0), #7 Seismos (12-3-2-2), #16 Rising Romance (2-1-1-0), #17 Big Memory (2-1-1-0) and #22e Renew (7-3-2-0)

Age Statistics

  • Four-year-olds boast the best record with 16 wins since 1983 most recently ill-fated mare Southern Speed (2011)
  • The only 4YOs in this year’s race are #15 Lucia Valentina and #16 Rising Romance who are also both mares
  • The next most successful age groups in that time are then 6YOs (7 wins) and 5YOs (6 wins)

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Caulfield Cup betting tips to be published shortly.

In the meantime get behind your early selections for the weekend’s big race online now at Ladbrokes.com.au – home of the $500 bonus bet offer this spring!

*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change

2014 Caulfield Cup Form Guide

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

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