A final field of just six stayers will line-up for the Group 3 Craven Plate (2000m) on Saturday, after early favourite Hawkspur was scratched from the race.
The Chris Waller-trained gelding was due to enjoy the rails under jockey Tye Angland after drawing barrier one for the Epsom Handicap Day supporting race but was scratched in favour of the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington. Waller is still represented in the race by three horses.
Following the scratching of the favourite, the 2014 Craven Plate betting market has changed with large price shortenings happening across the field.
Market mover Rising Romance became the odds-on favourite after shortening to $1.70 (from $.280) at Ladbrokes.com.au, along with three more single figure hopefuls.
Donna Logan’s New Zealand mare will now get the inside run under James McDonald and is also due to carry the least weight at 56kg – up to three kilos less than the rest of the field.
The Group 1 ATC Oaks (2400m) winner missed out on a placing in the Group 2 Tramway Stakes (1400m) last month by just half a length but wasn’t in as good form in the Group 1 Geo Main Stakes (1600m) a fortnight later, finishing end of the field.
The 2014 Craven Plate betting market is tight with three other single figure hopefuls:
- #2 Moriarty ($4.40) – Waller’s best remaining hopeful in the race is the seven-year-old gelding Moriarty, who’s price was nearly slashed in half after being shortened from $7. The Group 2 Eagle Farm Cup (2200m) winner has failed to place in his last three out so doesn’t have the best form heading into the Craven.
- #6 Vilanova ($7) – Waller’s second of three remaining entries is third favourite in the fixed-price odd market after being shortened from $10. Doesn’t have the best recent form, finishing middle of the field in the Tramway then second-last in the Group 3 Cameron Stakes (1500m).
- #3 Slow Pace ($7.50) – Kris Lees’ gelding is the final single figure hope for the Craven after being shortened from $11. Slow Pace will have to overcome the widest run under Hugh Bowman.
The two remaining runners on the field are long odds but as we’ve all seen those are the best bets as they can often cause an upset.
Listed Wyong Cup (2100m) runner-up Canny Ballad ($15) will get a good start from barrier three while Danchai ($21) is the outside shot after a dead-last Group 3 Cameron Stakes (1500m) finish his last time out.
The full 2014 Craven Plate odds are listed below. Choose your winner then open your online betting account at Ladbrokes.com.au to place a bet.
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