Peter Moody’s Cox Plate-bound galloper Dissident is the latest in a growing list of horses that could miss a 2014 Warwick Stakes Day run in Sydney this weekend due to the wet weather and rain-affected track at Royal Randwick.
Earlier today Godolphin’s private trainer John O’Shea confirmed star filly Earthquake would not take her spot first-up in the $175,000 Group 2 Silver Shadow Stakes (1200m) if the track was rated Heavy.
Now Moody has made the same declaration in regards to Dissident who is nominated for the day’s marquee race, the $175,000 Group 2 Warwick Stakes (1400m) where 10 individual Group 1 winners are entered.
With over 50mm of rain falling on the track over the weekend and more rain predicted over the coming days, the chances of getting firm ground to run on this Warwick Stakes Day look very slim.
While a bog track will suit some of the mudlarks, plenty of top chances could fall prey to the soft going including Moody’s Sebring stallion Dissident.
Eyeing a run in the $3 million Group 1 Cox Plate (2040m) at Moonee Valley on October 25, Dissident is already a Group 1 winner having narrowly held off El Roca to win the Randwick Guineas over the mile back in March.
A $41 outsider in the current Cox Plate odds at Ladbrokes.com.au he hasn’t raced since a disappointing 12th when caught wide and failing to handle a Heavy (9) Randwick track on April 12 behind Sacred Falls in the Group 1 Doncaster Mile (1600m).
Dual Doncaster champ Sacred Falls is undefeated on Heavy tracks and is one of nine Warwick Stakes nominees for Sydney’s premier trainer Chris Waller who launches his middle-distance contingent this weekend.
Dissident meanwhile has had two subsequent trials with one at Doomben during their winter break in Queensland most recently a good fourth over 1050m at Randwick on August 1 behind Neena Rock with Blake Shinn aboard.
Also runner-up in the Golden Rose last year, Dissident is far better on top of the ground although he has run top three twice from three goes on Slow rated tracks.
Moody though won’t risk their chances this weekend if the track is too wet with a trip to Caulfield Racecourse for the $400,000 Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) on August 30 the other option.
“I’m mindful if the track is too wet I can always pull him out and take him down to Melbourne in a week for the Memsie,” Moody told TVN today.
“He has spelled and prepped-up really well in Queensland and he’s ready to go and if we don’t get too much more rain the track may dry out a bit.
“We’ll just have to wait and see, but he doesn’t have to run here (Sydney) on Saturday.”
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