BTC Cup 2014 Late Mail Tip

The money continues to roll in for the now odds-on favourite Buffering to take home this afternoon’s 2014 BTC Cupin Brisbane, and the late mail tip is to stick with the favourite.


Buffering looks hard to beat in today's BTC Cup 2014. Photo: Race Horse Photos Australia.

The predicted heavy rain never fell over Doomben Racecourse leaving a Good (3) track for the opening Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival Group 1 today.

Despite the great conditions, there are only seven horses set to line-up in the $400,000 Group 1 Bundaberg Distilling Co. BTC Cup (1200m) this afternoon when the sprint classic jumps at 3:40pm (AEST).

After sitting at around $2.20 earlier in the week, Rob Heathcote’s star local galloper Buffering is now into $1.85 to salute in front of a home crowd.

The Mossman six-year-old, last seen running third in Sydney’s TJ Smith Stakes, has three Group 1s from their 40 career starts so far.

None of those however have been at home in Queensland meaning if they win today it will be an extra special achievement for them, connections and trainer Heathcote.

Why Buffering Can Win the 2014 BTC Cup

  • Third in the TJ Smith Stakes was good in the wet
  • TJ Smith Stakes has produced three of the past 10 BTC Cup winners most recently Black Caviar (2011)
  • Eight of the past 10 BTC Cup winners had their final run in Sydney and Buffering’s biggest danger today, #2 Spirit Of Boom ($5.50), comes off a run in Brisbane
  • Has a good 38% Win Rate and the equal best Place Rate of 75% along with #8 Peron ($17)
  • Boasts the top Doomben track record (8-3-1-3) as only one of three in the field with a previous win here
  • Best tried over the distance (1200m) with 10 wins and 10 minor placings from 26 starts
  • Only previous last start winner of the Track & Distance having won the Group 2 Victory Stakes (1200m) last year by three and a half lengths

Then to fill the minor placings behind Buffering in the BTC Cup trifecta?

The Tony Gollan-trained William Reid Stakes winner Spirit Of Boom has been steady at $5.50, but it is Tiger Tees who catches out eye.

They are on the drift out from $9 to $11 as the Joe Pride-trained The Galaxy winner does his best work on a wet track.

Still the Dubawi six-year-old can’t be left out after their TJ Smith Stakes fourth was backed up with a third in the Group 1 All Aged Stakes (1400m) on April 26, which they’ll appreciate dropping back down in distance from.

And don’t be disheartened by the Good (3) track for them, they won first-up on firm ground at Eagle Farm in February beating Adebisi in the Listed Falvelon Handicap (1200m) so has Brisbane form as well.

Spirit Of Boom to run third, while there’s been a big shift on Hot Snitzel now into $7 for Gerald Ryan who scratched Group 1 winning mare Snitzerland from the race earlier in the week.

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