The last race on the A.D. Hollindale Stakes Day program at the Gold Coast Racecourse this Saturday is the 2014 Gold Coast Guineas, betting tips and selections on the three-year-olds’ feature found below.
Running as Gold Coast Race 8 at 4:30pm (AEST) this year’s $125,000 Group 3 Attwood Marshall Lawyers Gold Coast Guineas (1200m) features a full field with 16 to line-up at jump time.
In the bumper field there are five under $10 to win with the current favourite in the very tight markets being the Paul Messara-trained Havana ($5).
The Starcraft gelding comes to Brisbane on the back of mixed form back home in Sydney, a Canterbury win two back over 1100m followed by a luckless sixth to Sidestep in the Group 2 Royal Sovereign Stakes (1200m), the form of which the bookies are backing here.
Second pick is then Costa Viva at $5.50 to win their maiden Aussie start.
An outside barrier hasn’t dampened the punters’ enthusiasm on this Jason Bridgman-trained Kiwi raider either who is also the early market mover for the GC Guineas.
This is their debut run down under but they come into it with some ace form back home with three wins, two seconds and a third from their six runs so far including the Group 1 NZ 1000 Guineas victory over the mile back in November.
Last two runs were also over 1600m so the drop back to 1200m could be the only issue.
The other single figure Gold Coast Guineas fancies are then Gerald Ryan’s Mossman colt Dothraki ($6) who ran fifth in the Royal Sovereign on the back of a Gosford Guineas third, multiple stakes winning Queenslander Enquare ($6) and Blackboard Special ($9) who is still not assured of a run as the third emergency.
So do the bookies have the form right for the Gold Coast Guineas with one of these top chances to win?
Or should you be tipping a double figure chance in the race to score an upset such as the returning Kelly Schweida-trained L’Entrecote ($14) or even last start Eagle Farm winner Natural Dancer ($21)?
#10 Enquare ($6)
From the Sunshine Coast where she’s based to the Goldie, we are tipping Jason McLachlan’s super talented Stratum filly to post her sixth win at start number 11 here. Her 50% strike rate shows she knows how to win and her form in Brisbane is outstanding. She failed in the Ken Russell Memorial Classic on this day last winter when 10th but has won four races since including the Group 3 Vo Rogue Plate (1350m) at Doomben in December. Last time out she ran third to Sweet Idea (1st) and Estonian Princess (2nd) in the $1 million Magic Millions 3YO Guineas (1400m) and first-up since that January 11 feature over 1200m looks ideal with her first-up record being two from three.
#2 Dothraki ($6)
Sydney-trained son of Mossman is third-up for the season and on the improve. They won a Flemington Black Type over 1400m during the Cup Carnival before a five month break which they returned from when third in the Gosford Guineas in the mud at the start of April. Their latest effort when fifth in the Royal Sovereign on April 19 was solid and they only just weakened off in the end to miss a top three finish, something they’ll be fitter from and less likely to do here.
#11 Costa Viva ($5.50)
Kiwi raider debuting down under for Jason Bridgman, this Encosta De Lago filly looks the goods for a successful winter visit. She’s run top three in all of her six starts at home and is a Group 1 winner over the mile at Riccarton Park from the spring. Her summer was very strong but she hasn’t raced since a fourth over 1600m on January 25. Showed her fitness was a non-issue when a four length trial winner over 1000m at Te Awamutu on April 22 so expect a good showing here ahead of the Brisbane features.
Whether you agree with our short priced Gold Coast Guineas trifecta tip this weekend, or have your own selections for the last on the Gold Coast card, the odds you need can be found online at Ladbrokes.com.au.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change