Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The feature race in Queensland this Saturday is the 2014 A.D. Hollindale Stakes on the Gold Coast, exclusive betting tips for the Doomben Cup lead-up detailed below.
There are 11 hopefuls accepted for the $358,000 Group 2 Wimmers Soft Drinks A.D. Hollindale Stakes (1800m) this year, the clear favourite of which is the Chris Waller-trained Junoob.
The flying European import is four from five since the start of February, their latest win being in the Group 3 Neville Sellwood Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill from April 5 where they beat them home on a Heavy (8).
Saturday they make their Queensland debut but get the 1800m again fresh off a month break so should be going well as they kick off their Group 1 Doomben Cup (2000m) campaign.
Also at single figures to win this year’s AD Hollindale Stakes are then Guy Walter’s triple Group 1 winning mare Streama ($4.60), the fellow Waller-trained stayer Moriarty ($5.50) and the Gerald Ryan-trained Hussonet mare Angel Of Mercy ($6.50) coming off a Listed Members’ Handicap (1600m) win at Eagle Farm from April 19.
So should you be putting your money on these top hopes to run out the top four on Saturday?
Or is there value to be had further down the Hollindale betting markets with a runner like the returning Cups’ King-trained veteran Precedence ($15) or Shaune Ritchie’s Kiwi raider Military Move ($17)?
#10 Streama ($4.60)
While Junoob has been in top form and is the firming favourite, for us at $4.60 Streama is really hard to go past. This Stratum five-year-old has three Group 1s to her name, most recently in the George Main Stakes in Sydney last September, and is all class. Her form has left a little to be desired this time in but last time out showed she was on the improve when fourth beaten only 1.5 lengths in the Queen Of The Turf. This is her first run over further than 1600m since her 2010 ATC Oaks (2400m) victory but she looked like she wanted a bit more with her chase in the Queen Of The Turf and Walter is priming her for a shot at the Doomben Cup (2000m) so think she’ll be right in this.
#3 Military Move ($17)
Going out on a limb here for value and tipping Military Move to impress in their Aussie debut, the Volksraad seven-year-old last seen crossing second in the Group 2 Awapuni Gold Cup (2000m) in late March. They’ll be a little short of their preferred over the 1800m but for their first start down under that will suit. Run well fresh so the five weeks between runs could be an advantage. Mixed form but think Ritchie wouldn’t have them here if he didn’t rate them a chance.
#6 Junoob ($2.50)
Bookies are taking no chances with this short-priced favourite who we are taking on. Strike rate is ultra-impressive with four wins from their past five starts, the six-year-old coming off back-to-back Randwick wins this season over 2000m. Drop back in distance but still look very good after their narrow Neville Sellwood victory in the wet a month ago. Think though they won’t go all out and will be saved for a Doomben Cup all out.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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