Sydney Cup 2014 Form Guide & Betting Analysis

April 17, 2014

Sydney Cup 2014 Form Guide & Betting Analysis

The Offer

Chairman's winner and known mudlark The Offer looks the one to beat in the 2014 Sydney Cup. Photo: Steve Hart.

insider form guide analysis and betting preview for which is detailed below.

There are four Group 1s on the Randwick race card this weekend, including the time-honoured $1 million Group 1 Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m) running as Race 7 at 3:45pm (AEST).

There are 17 stayers in the Sydney Cup field this year, the current favourite of which is The Offer at $3.10.

For punters betting online at, this Gai Waterhouse-trained up-and-comer can be had at a juicy $4 up to $50!

The Montjeu five-year-old has had just the 16 starts making them lightly raced for their age, 10 of those being on Aussie soil.

The import has enjoyed three wins down under including their last two on the trot.

After winning the Ballarat Cup by three and a half lengths at the end of last prep, The Offer enjoyed their breakthrough Group win down under on March 29 with another commanding victory this time in the NE Manion Cup (2400m) in the mud at Rosehill.

They relished another Heavy (9) track and extra distance then last weekend winning the Group 2 Chairman’s Handicap (2600m) at Randwick.

The Offer returns to the track, this time going up to the two miles for a shot at the Sydney Cup which is likely to be run rain affected ground once more.

There are then just two other Sydney Cup hopes under double figures to win this year with Auckland Cup winner Who Shot Thebarman ($6) making their Australian debut and in-form Galileo six-year-old Sertorius ($9) coming via a fourth in the Chairman’s behind Saturday’s top fancy.

The rest of the field can then be had at double figures including market easer Voleuse De Coeurs ($10) a six length winner of last year’s Irish St Leger, the Chris Waller-trained Brigantin ($11) and Peter Snowden’s Australian Derby runner-up Tupac Amaru ($13) for who steady money is coming in.

But are the Sydney Cup betting markets to be trusted? Or is there an upset on the cards?

To answer that we’ve gone over the entire Sydney Cup field and form guide to come up with the below must know facts on the classic.

2014 Sydney Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Sydney Cup winner was the Robert Hickmott-trained Mourayan who came via a fourth in the Chairman’s Handicap, jumped from gate 2 (of 10) with Hugh Bowman aboard carrying 58kg
  • Hickmott is without a runner this year but last year’s winning jockey Bowman will look to go back-to-back aboard roughie shot #16 Like A Carousel ($81)
  • Last year’s winning barrier (2) this year belongs to another roughie #15 Angola ($61), the gate producing four Sydney Cup winners since 1983 making it the second most successful gate in the two mile feature
  • The most successful Sydney Cup barrier in that time has been eight producing eight winners; barrier eight this year belongs to the favourite #4 The Offer ($3.10) to be ridden by Tommy Berry who has his third Sydney Cup ride
  • Horses coming via the Chairman’s this year are the winner #4 The Offer (1st) along with #12 Tremec (2nd), #11 Hippopus (3rd), #2 Sertorius (4th), #13 Desert Jeuney (5th), #10 Opinion (6th) and #16 Like A Carousel (7th)
  • #4 The Offer ($3.10) is out to become the eighth Chairman’s Handicap – Sydney Cup double winner since 1986 joining Jessicabeel (2010), No Wine No Song (2008), Henderson Bay (2002), Linesman (1997), King Aussie (1990), Major Drive (1987) and Marooned (1986)
  • Along with #4 The Offer (Group 2 Chairman’s Handicap, 2600m, Randwick, 12/04/2014) the only other last start winner in the Sydney Cup field this year is then #3 Who Shot Thebarman (Group 1 Auckland Cup, 3200m, Ellerslie, NZ, 05/03/2014)
  • Heading the Sydney Cup odds #4 The Offer is out to become the sixth favourite in the past 11 years to win; four of the other Sydney Cup favourites in that time failed to place
  • Only two three-year-olds have won the Sydney Cup since 1983 with Tie The Knot (1998) and Veloso (1983); this year market mover #7 Tupac Amaru ($13) is out to be the next
  • Mares also have an unremarkable record with just two mares winning in the past 10 years with Makybe Diva (2004) and Jessicabeel (2010); mares in the mix this year are #1 Voleuse de Coeurs ($10), #6 Epingle ($15), #8 Gondokoro ($81) and #9 Let’s Make Adeal ($26)
  • The horse with the highest Win Rate is #3 Who Shot Thebarman (67%) followed by #13 Desert Jeuney (33%), #1 Voleuse de Coerus (31%), #4 The Offer (31%) and #2 Sertorius (30%)
  • The best Place Percentage then belongs to #3 Who Shot Thebarman (89%) followed by #2 Sertorius (70%), #6 Epingle (65%), #1 Voleuse de Coeurs (63%), #4 The Offer (63% and #7 Tupac Amaru (60%)
  • Horses who have seen the two miles (3200m) are: #1 Voleuse de Coeurs (3-2-0-0), #3 Who Shot Thebarman (1-1-0-0), #14 Macedonian (6-1-0-1), #16 Like A Carousel (2-0-1-0) and #17 Fifth Column (1-0-1-0)
  • Those with the best Randwick track record are: #4 The Offer (4-1-0-2), #12 Tremec (5-1-1-0), #7 Tupac Amaru (2-0-1-0) and #10 Opinion (2-0-1-0)
  • Randwick is likely to be a mud track on the weekend so the horses with the best Heavy track record are: #4 The Offer (5-4-1-0), #17 Fifth Column (3-2-0-0), #1 Voleuse de Coeurs (3-1-1-0), #2 Sertorius (4-1-0-0), #3 Who Shot Thebarman (2-1-0-0), #5 Brigantin (5-1-0-0), #6 Epingle (2-1-0-1), #7 Tupac Amaru (3-1-2-0), #12 Tremec (4-1-1-1) and #14 Macedonian (3-1-0-1)

Stay tuned to for our Sydney Cup betting tips to be published shortly.

Already have your selections and want to lock them in at the best prices? Then visit our preferred online bookie who for this Easter long weekend only are upping their first deposit bonus for new customers to a $300 bonus bet on the house!

2014 Sydney Cup Field & Form Guide

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Trapeze Artist Secures 2018 Th...

El Dorado Dreaming of 2018 VRC...

El Dorado Dreaming of 2018 VRC Oaks Bid

Ben Smith’s ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes winning filly El Dorado Dreaming is in...

In Her Time Targets 2018 The E...

In Her Time Targets 2018 The Everest After Brisbane Winter

It is shaping-up as a huge year for Benjamin Smith’s class mare In Her Time...

All Aged to The Everest 2018 f...

All Aged to The Everest 2018 for Trapeze Artist

The world’s richest race on turf, the 2018 The Everest, will be firmly on the...

2018 TJ Smith Stakes Grand Fin...

2018 TJ Smith Stakes Grand Final for The Everest Bound Redzel

Inaugural The Everest champion Redzel has been specifically set for an autumn...

Horse Racing Today

Victorian filly So Far Sokool ...

Gai’s 2 head the list of...

Gai’s 2 head the list of nominations for the 2018 Japan Racing Association Plate

The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott trained Ecuador and Arbeitsam head up the...

Single Gaze looking to the fut...

Single Gaze looking to the future as a brood mare, out of 2018 Sydney Cup

Group 1 winning mare Single Gaze will begin preparations for the upcoming...

Savvy Coup looking for another...

Savvy Coup looking for another Kiwi win in 2018 Australian Oaks

Savvy Coup will be trying to keep the Kiwi fillies strong winning record...

Oliver back aboard Almandin in...

Oliver back aboard Almandin in 2018 Sydney Cup

Damien Oliver has found himself back on Melbourne Cup winner Almandin who is...

Race Results

Viewed Victorious in Caulfield Cup

Race 1 Result – $101 500 AGL Renewable Energy Stakes – She’s Got Gears Wins

Race 2 – $101,500 Schiavello Plate – Avienus Wins

Race 3 – $101 500 Lavazza A Modo Mio – Linton Street Wins

Race 4 Results – $151,500 Listed Herald Sun Stakes – Strawberry Field Wins

Race Previews

2009 Caulfield Cup Barrier Draw Announced

Who Are the Top Contenders for Tomorrow’s Caulfield Cup?

Victoria Derby in sight for Onemorenomore

2009 Melbourne Cup Field

Eclipse Stakes Final Field & Preview

Fields & Form

Can Kelinni Win Sydney Cup 2013 for the Punters?

Moroney Gets into Queensland Derby 2013 Rhythm

Buffering Draws 7 – 2013 BTC Cup Final Field and Barrier Draw

SA Fillies Classic 2013 Field Released

13 two-year-olds in 2013 Champagne Classic Field