This weekend in Sydney the race fans are treated to a bumper day’s racing at Royal Randwick, the meeting’s four Group 1 features headlined by the Doncaster Mile 2014.
Running as Randwick Race 8 at 4:30pm (AEST), this year’s $3 million Group 1 The Star Doncaster Mile (1600m) features a capacity field and plenty of Group 1 winners.
Despite having attracted 22 final acceptors, 20 of which are guaranteed a start, there are only three hopes under double figures in the latest Doncaster Mile odds.
Doncaster Mile betting is led by Messene at $4.60, the Hawkes-trained son of Lonhro shooting for their eighth win on the trot but first at Group 1 level.
The lightly-raced five-year-old actually only stepped up to Group company for the first time last start on March 22 when easily accounting for the Group 2 Ajax Stakes field over the 1500m at Rosehill winning by three lengths.
That effort saw them hit the top of the Doncaster odds where they’ve stayed despite drawing wide with barrier 18 for their acid test on the weekend.
The others at single figures to win are then market mover Weary ($6) for Chris Waller and their stable mate Hawkspur ($9.50).
Imported Astronomer Royal four-year-old Weary races down under for just the fourth time here, the impressive grey having run second in the Ajax Stakes before winning last Saturday’s Group 3 Doncaster Prelude (1500m).
Last year’s Queensland Derby winner Hawkspur is a mudlark that will appreciate the soft track on Saturday, the Purrealist four-year-old last seen running fourth to Sydney Cup favourite Silent Achiever in the Ranvet three weeks ago.
It is looking to be a Heavy, or Slow at best, track for Doncaster Day meaning the money in the markets for all the day’s races are on the known wet track performers.
But aside from wet track form, what else should punters be looking for when it comes to placing their Doncaster Mile bets?
See below for our must know Doncaster Mile facts, form statistics and betting history so you can place the winning bet this weekend online at Ladbrokes.com.au.
2014 Doncaster Mile Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Doncaster Mile winner was the Chris Waller-trained Sacred Falls who jumped from barrier 4 (of 18) carrying 53kg in the wet with Tommy Berry aboard following a Rosehill Guineas second
- This year Waller will look to go back-to-back and win his fourth Doncaster since 2008 with six acceptors: #1 Boban ($19), #2 My Kingdom Of Fife ($67), #4 Sacred Falls ($12), #5 Hawkspur ($9.50), #9 Royal Descent ($14) and #19 Weary ($6)
- The pick of his contingent is #19 Weary while #4 Sacred Falls is back to defend their title
- This year #4 Sacred Falls has barrier 14 and will be ridden by Zac Purton on 56.5kg, 3.5 kg more than their winning weight last year
- Aside from Chris Waller’s recent assault on the Doncaster, the most successful trainer in the race in the past 30 years has been Gai Waterhouse saddling up seven winners since 1991 (when she got her licence), most recently More Joyous (2012); this year however she is without a runner
- Last year’s winning jockey Tommy Berry meanwhile will partner with #19 Weary in gate 13 (into 11 if the two emergencies come out)
- The most successful Doncaster Mile winning jockey however is Glen Boss with five wins since 1983; Boss will partner this year with #18 El Roca ($12) looking for his sixth
- Last year’s winning gate 4 this year belongs to roughie chance #10 Monton ($101); the barrier’s only win since 1983 being last year
- The most successful Doncaster Mile barrier since 1983 meanwhile has been 12 with 5 winners which belongs this year to #20 Ninth Legion ($41) or if the emergencies come out #4 Sacred Falls (currently drawn in 14)
- Barrier 10 has then produced 4 winners since 1983 and belongs on Saturday to the second emergency #22 Gypsy Diamond ($71)
- Along with #19 Weary for Waller the other last start winner in the mix this year is the favourite #17 Messene ($4.60)
- The last favourite to win was More Joyous in 2012 and before her Haradasun in 2007
- Horses to come via the Rosehill Guineas, which produced last year’s winner, this year are then #16 Dissident (1st) and #18 El Roca (2nd) – the only two three-year-olds in the Doncaster mix this year both getting in on the 51.5kg minimum
- Top weight is then #1 Boban (58kg) followed by #2 My Kingdom Of Fife (57kg)
- Horses with the best record over the distance (1600m) are: #17 Messene (4-4-0-0), #14 Hana’s Goal (8-4-0-0), #1 Boban (4-3-0-0), #12 Fat Al (7-3-1-0), #8 Mouro (8-3-4-0), #3 Streama (5-2-1-0), #6 Toydini (5-2-0-1), #4 Sacred Falls (7-2-0-1), #7 Speediness (9-2-3-2), #5 Hawkspur (5-1-1-1), #15 Lidari (3-1-1-1), #2 My Kingdom Of Fife (2-1-1-0) and #11 Dear Demi (4-1-2-1)
- At Randwick the horses with the best track record are: #3 Streama (8-4-1-0), #12 Fat Al (4-3-0-0), #2 My Kingdom Of Fife (4-3-0-0), #1 Boban (5-2-0-0), #9 Royal Descent (4-2-1-1), #5 Hawkspur (6-1-2-0) and #16 Dissident (3-1-1-0)
- Winners at the Track & Distance are then: #12 Fat Al (2-2-0-0), #3 Streama (4-2-1-0), #1 Boban (1-1-0-0), #2 My Kingdom Of Fife (1-1-0-0), #4 Sacred Falls (3-1-0-0), #5 Hawkspur (3-1-1-0), #6 Toydini (2-1-0-1), #10 Monton (7-2-0-1), #11 Dear Demi (3-1-1-1), #16 Dissident (2-1-0-0) and #17 Messene (1-1-0-0)
- Horses with the best Heavy track form are: #19 Weary (2-2-0-0), #3 Streama (4-1-1-1), #11 Dear Demi (2-1-1-0), #2 My Kingdom Of Fife (1-1-0-0), #4 Sacred Falls (1-1-0-0) and #9 Royal Descent (2-1-0-1)
Think you’ve made your Doncaster Mile betting selections based on the above facts and stats?
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