While the early withdrawal of the two Lloyd Williams-owned acceptors from The BMW 2014 field has left us with just nine runners, the class is still cracking for this Saturday’s weight-for-age feature.
One of three Group 1s highlighting the Golden Slipper Day program at Rosehill Gardens, this year’s $1.5 million The BMW (2400m) kicks off the elite levels as Race 6 at 3:40pm (AEST).
The scratching of Green Moon and Mourayan has seen The BMW betting markets become even tighter with four of the nine remaining hopes under $10 to win.
Favourite is Melbourne Cup – Australian Cup champ Fiorente ($2.80) on the rails looking to bounce back from a last start seventh in the Ranvet.
Ranvet Stakes winner Silent Achiever ($4) is next looking to go one better than her BMW second behind favourite Fiveandahalfstar last autumn.
Kiwi star It’s A Dundeel is then at $4.60 to post their sixth Group 1 win down under, before Irish St Ledger winning import Voleuse De Coeurs ($7.50) finishes off the single figure chances in the mix.
So will this year’s The BMW winner come from one of the above?
Or will there be a massive boilover The BMW result in 2014 from the likes of Zipping Classic winner from the spring Sertorius ($13) or the Chris Waller-trained Foreteller ($13) who both back up from unplaced Ranvet runs?
#8 It’s A Dundeel ($4.60)
Trainer Murray Baker admits there were few excuses last start for this star High Chaparral four-year-old who could only manage third in the Ranvet, they didn’t quicken when it counted but they had a horrid run from barrier one and think they’ll be much fitter for it. First-up second in the Chipping Norton was solid and they should appreciate the extra distance here. Gate eight suits to a tee, it’s another small field so if they can get a better run can hold them off and win over the 2400m like they did in the Australian Derby by six lengths this time last year. Slow track conditions will also work to their advantage, they won the Underwood in the spring on a Slow Caulfield track, plus their Rosehill record is outstanding including the Guineas by seven lengths last autumn.
#9 Silent Achiever ($4)
She took them all, bar her trainer Roger James who knew she was spot on, for surprise with her upset Ranvet win last start and is after another Group 1 down under here. Won the NZ Stakes at home before traveling over to do her bidding in the Ranvet where she narrowly held on in a gritty effort. She needs to be stronger here going up in distance, but it’s a distance she’s got plenty of experience over including her second in the race last year. Loves Sydney, can handle the give out of the track, drawn the right gate and is flying.
#1 Fiorente ($2.50)
History shows that in the past 10 years just two favourites have failed to place in this race so would be crazy not to include this year’s shortie in the trifecta. They won a Melbourne Cup, they won an Australian Cup, they lost the Ranvet but can they bounce back? Are lightly raced for their age with plenty of class and while they upset a few last time out will be eager to get it right as they get up in distance here. That extra distance is going to suit the proven two miler as well.
Think you’ve got The BMW trifecta figured out? Then head over to our preferred online betting agency Ladbrokes.com.au to lock in your picks, not forgetting to also check out their Golden Slipper Best Tote or SP plus 20% markets for the weekend!
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change