Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
On the first Saturday of the year the only black type race happening on Aussie turf is the Goldmarket Handicap 2014 on the Gold Coast, the Races.com.au team’s insider tips and selections for which are detailed below.
There are 11 gallopers making up the field for this summer’s $100,000 Listed Carlton Draught Goldmarket (1300m), the middle distance sprint to run as Gold Coast Race 7 at 4:05pm local time.
Heading the latest Goldmarket Handicap betting odds at an easing price of $3.50 is Morning Captain drawn on the rails with Jim Byrne to ride.
They may be allocated the hefty equal top weight of 59kg, but this Kelly Doughty-trained local has the consistency, class and ability to handle the kilos and these rivals according to the bookies.
They ran fifth in this race last year behind Biggles on the back of some top Brisbane form including a Group 3 George Moore Stakes (1200m) third at Eagle Farm and a close second in the Listed Lough Neagh Stakes (1350m) at Doomben.
It is those same two races they contested in the lead-up to the Goldmarket this year too, the Danbird five-year-old finishing second in the George Moore and fifth in the Lough Neagh Stakes.
Their biggest dangers of being defeated again this weekend if you go by the Goldmarket Handicap odds are then the Gai Waterhouse-trained King Cobia ($4), Kelso Wood’s six-year-old Signified ($6) and Mishani Warrior ($7.50) with the outside alley to overcome.
So are these single figure fancies the ones to beat? Or is there value to be had further down the markets?
#8 King Cobia ($4)
It may be their first interstate run and just their second black type assignment but feel things are stacking in the favour of Waterhouse’s Sydney raider. They’re barrier two draw is ideal as the progressive Exceed And Excel four-year-old seeks back-to-back wins following a tight effort at Kensington over 1400m last start. They did that from barrier 14 of 14 so will relish an inside draw here, crack runner over 1400m back home so the distance is ideal, and drop back from 57.5kg to just 54kg meaning they meet the favourite a full five kilos better off which we think will be the key.
#2 Morning Captain ($3.50)
Their form and consistency say they deserve to be the favourite and think it will be tight on the line, but the 59kg top weight is a hefty one to carry. Fifth here last year so not sure the Gold Coast is their pet track even though they’re a local. In fact, haven’t won here yet. Second in the George Moore was an eye catcher, won over 1300m in Brisbane two before that, Lough Neagh fifth was far from a disgrace beaten 3.5 lengths with 58kg.
#9 Little Brown Horse ($14)
Doughty’s other runner, the favourite’s stablemate adds value to the Goldmarket Handicap trifecta here. Okay draw in barrier nine, distance to get across, and gets in on just 54kg. Flying this season with two wins and a second from their three runs, this Waterford Road mare won first-up in the mud at the track before going to Brisbane and putting in a stellar effort to win on a Good (3) so is versatile. Last start runner-up at Doomben over the 1350m with 56.5kg, can improve on that as they step up in class here.
Whether you’re backing or sacking our Goldmarket Handicap selections on Saturday make sure you lock in the guaranteed best odds by betting online at Ladbrokes.com.au – home of the famous $250 bonus sign-up bet offer!
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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