Anthony Freedman has the Brisbane Winter Racing...
On Saturday Rob Heathcote’s flying Queensland sprinter Buffering will debut in WA shooting for their third Group 1 win on the trot, but are they the one to get behind with your 2013 Winterbottom Stakes betting tips?
Running as Ascot Race 7 at 4:05pm (local) the $500,000 Group 1 Crown Perth Winterbottom Stakes (1200m) is shaping up as a two-horse affair with Buffering taking on ace local Barakey.
Leading the Winterbottom Stakes odds at $2.20 is the six-year-old visitor who, after years of playing the bridesmaid, finally won their first Group 1 in the Manikato Stakes last month.
The son of Mossman made it two from two at Flemington on Emirates Stakes Day taking out the VRC Sprint Classic and is now after an elite level trifecta to see out the season.
They are the one to beat but won’t have things all their way with $4.40 second pick, the Jim Taylor-trained Barakey looking to complete their own fairytale by successfully defending their Winterbottom Stakes title.
The others the bookies aren’t risking in the Winterbottom Stakes markets are then last year’s brave third placegetter Spirit Of Boom ($7.50) and Peter Moody’s VRC Sprint Classic third placed Moment Of Change ($7.50).
So are punters well advised to take the single figure fancies? Or should you be taking them on with an upset from a double figure roughie such as market mover Power Princess ($10)?
#1 Buffering ($2.20)
Momentum is a lovely thing and that’s exactly what Buffering has going into this. After 17 attempts he shook the Group 1 duck off his back two back and showed he could do it more than once last start in the VRC Sprint Classic against tougher rivals than these. Gate eight will suit, gives them room, likely to get up front and go all-the-way. Is a great traveler so trip to Perth shouldn’t have done them any harm. Has nine wins and nine minor placings over the distance and with everything in order should hold off the local champ here who’ll no doubt be challenging from their inside draw.
#3 Moment Of Change ($7.50)
Peter Moody’s 2012 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes winner has improvement in them after being beaten by Buffering in their last two starts. The first was a fourth in the Manikato, beaten just half a length, before their VRC Sprint Classic third. Hasn’t run a bad race all prep and one outside of Buffering they should be able to follow the likely pacesetter up for a good battle even though they’re likely needing 1400m to beat Buffering’s finishing burst.
#4 Barakey ($4.40)
This star local hope is 12 from 12 in WA and their only defeat was when they injured their knee in the Newmarket (11th) for their sole interstate assignment. All signs are that they’re back and ready to defend their Winterbottom title having beaten Power Princess (2nd) and Spirit Of Boom (3rd) 12 months ago. Resumed on October 26 with a narrow win, again over Power Princess, in the Group 3 Prince Of Wales Stakes (1200m) before a barrier trial win at Belmont Park earlier this month. Has the record at the track and distance, drawn ideally in barrier two which has produced four winners in the past 30 years, and boasts the best Win & Place rate of the field (92%) so look out.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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