Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This Thursday a classy field of three-year-old fillies will square off in the Crown Oaks 2013 for Ladies Day during the coveted Melbourne Cup Carnival, and to help you back the winning filly below are our insider tips on the classic.
There are 10 fillies engaged in this year’s edition of the $1 million Group 1 VRC Crown Oaks (2500m), the race set to draw another crowd to Flemington after the Melbourne Cup action from Tuesday.
Of those in the big one on Thursday it is the John Sargent-trained Kiwi expat Kirramosa heading the Crown Oaks odds at a firming price of $3.10.
The daughter of Alamosa is the genuine Crown Oaks betting market mover despite her wide barrier 10 draw with Nash Rawiller looking for a Group 1 after being taken off the favourite and subsequent winner Fiorente in the Melbourne Cup 2013.
Even though she’s out in the ‘visitor’s gate’ the money is rolling in for the last start Group 2 Wakeful Stakes (2000m) winner due to the outstanding record of the favourites in the race.
With dual Ballarat winner Zanbagh ($4.40) in barrier two, Thousand Guineas and Wakeful runner-up Mays’ Dream ($5) and Gypsy Diamond ($9) also at single figures though will Kirramosa keep the record of punters’ picks rolling?
#3 Kirramosa ($3.10)
She’s the well-backed favourite and we can’t go against the history books and tip and upset here. In the past 11 years eight Crown Oaks favourites have gotten home and we think Kirramosa will be the next. Barrier 10 is fairly wide but there’s room to overcome the gate. The Wakeful – Crown Oaks double has been achieved nine times in the past 20 years, most recently by Brazilian Pulse (2010) who was also the last favourite to get home for the punters. Loved her easy Wakeful win (also from out wide), Kiwis often love the extra distance, is consistent, handled the Melbourne way of racing and can’t see her getting beaten here.
#2 Arabian Gold ($13)
David Vandyke’s Sydney-based daughter of Dubawi adds value to the Crown Oaks quinella here, the lovely grey on the improve and set to relish the distance here. Having run against the best in Sydney all prep, including her brave fourth to subsequent Thousand Guineas winner Guelph in the Group 1 Flight Stakes (1600m), Arabian Gold came to Melbourne and has been holding her own. She won the Listed Ethereal Stakes (2000m) two back beating Solicit, then finished under two lengths away fourth in the Wakeful which we are tipping her to improve on having now had a run down that imposing straight to finish, and she gets the inside alley with Hugh Bowman which are another two big ticks.
#5 Solicit ($10)
Another double figure chance we think can surprise with the right run from their good gate four draw, Glen Boss booked for the ride. Local hope prepared by Matthew Ellerton and Simon Zahra this daughter of Street Cry is only lightly raced with six starts, two of which she’s won. Was narrow second in the Ethereal Stakes two back and then finished third in the Wakeful. That was a decent effort after she jumped awkwardly, over raced early and was tightened for room. Some queries about the distance but if Boss can get her to settle then she could really finish off fighting.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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