Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Are you a dummy when it comes to picking the Melbourne Cup winner each November? Never fear, the expert team of tipsters at Races.com.au are here to help narrowing down the 24 horses in the field to find you the winning 2013 Melbourne Cup Tips.
Known the world over as the ‘race that stops a nation’, this year’s edition of the $6 million Group 1 Emirates Melbourne Cup (3200m) is set to do just that and bring Australia to a stand still for just over three minutes at 3:00pm (AEST).
Running as Flemington Race 7, the Melbourne Cup field features 24 stayers from around the world meaning there’s lots to consider when picking the winner.
That’s fine if you’re a Melbourne Cup form guru or expert tipster, but what about those of us who just like to have a flutter once a year as is the Aussie tradition?
Don’t know your saddlecloths from your tablecloths?
Still can’t figure out why Black Caviar never ran in a Melbourne Cup?
Well you need our dummies guide to picking the Melbourne Cup winner.
Here’s what to do and what not to do when sorting the pretenders from the contenders in your Melbourne Cup tips this afternoon.
Melbourne Cup Tips – What NOT to Do
- Don’t back #18 Hawkspur who has drawn barrier 18 – the only Melbourne Cup barrier in history not to produce a winner
- Don’t back a horse that ran (and lost) in the race the year before – the last loser to return a year later and take it out was Brew (1999, 2000) and before that it was Tawriffic (1988, 1989); that rules out seven horses this year including the top two in betting #6 Fiorente (2nd last year) and #15 Mount Athos (5th last year)
- Don’t back the defending champ – only five have successful defended their title with Makybe Diva (2003, 2004, 2005) the only of the 15 in the past 30 years to do it – this year #2 Green Moon is back and #1 Dunaden from 2011 is also looking for multiple victories
- Don’t back a raider that hasn’t run in Australia – there have been five Northern Hemisphere-trained Melbourne Cup winners, only one of which – Vintage Crop (1993) – didn’t have a previous run down under; this year of the nine overseas raiders the only ones to have run top three in their final lead-up were #8 Dandino and #19 Simenon
- Don’t back the favourite – favourites have a poor recent record in the Melbourne Cup with the last to salute being Makybe Diva (2005); this year the favourite is #6 Fiorente ($7)
Melbourne Cup Tips – What You SHOULD Do
- Back a last-start winner – 11 of the past 19 Melbourne Cup winners won their final lead-up, the shortest priced of the seven last start winners in this year’s field is #4 Sea Moon ($14) and also includes their Caulfield Cup winning stablemate # 10 Fawkner ($16)
- Back a Caulfield Cup runner – the Caulfield Cup has produced 21 Melbourne Cup winners since 1970 most recently Viewed (2008); this year the Caulfield Cup trifecta all back up here with #10 Fawkner (1st), #8 Dandino (2nd) and #22 Dear Demi (3rd)
- Back a 4 or 5YO – four and five-year-old horses boast the equal best record with 43 Melbourne Cup winners for each age; this year there is a total of nine horses that are the right age statistically including five-year-old French mare #21 Verema ($16), and four-year-old gallopers #18 Hawkspur ($17) and #23 Tres Blue ($26)
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