Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
There are nine races set to light up Flemington Racecourse from 11:20am (AEST) today for 2013 Victoria Derby Day, and to help our readers work out who to back and who to sack in all the features below are our best bets of the day.
The action at the opening Melbourne Cup Carnival meeting is headlined by four Group 1 races with the marquee event running as Flemington Race 6 at 3:00pm (AEST) when the three-year-olds face off in the $1.5 million Group 1 AAMI Victoria Derby (2500m).
There’s plenty of other top races for punters to sink their teeth into today also including Race 5 at 2:15pm (AEST) when a field of last chance Melbourne Cup hopes face off in the $1 million Group 1 Longines Mackinnon Stakes (2000m).
So should you be on the Derby Day favourites?
Or will it be upsets aplenty at Victoria’s premier racecourse this afternoon?
In The Big One (Race 6) – 2013 Victoria Derby
#4 Polanski ($5.50)
Money continues to come in for the Victoria Derby market mover, Robbie Laing’s in-form colt after their third on the trot when stepping up to Group 1 company. Won at the track (1800m) two back before their last start Group 3 Norman Robinson Stakes (2000m) victory at Caulfield on Cup Day. Has the inside alley which has produced more Derby winners than any other gate over the past 30 years (four) and Hugh Bowman rides, he’s won three of the past four editions of this race so the history is there for this colt.
Better Than Bank Interest (Race 4) – 2013 Coolmore Stud Stakes
#1 Zoustar ($2)
Chris Waller-trained Golden Rose winner was odds-on earlier in the week but money for their female rival #9 Missy Longstocking ($8.50 into $8) has seen the price on this lovely Northern Meteor colt drift. That makes us happy as we’re backing them and $2 is better than $1.90 for us! Have a wide draw (10) but handled the far outside barrier (16 of 16) to win the Group 1 Rose two back so shouldn’t be an issue. Jim Cassidy stays on (still shooting for that 100th Group 1 trophy) and the duo were outstanding in Sydney on October 5 with their 4.5 length effort in the Roman Consul. Needs to handle Flemington, that’s the test, but fresh off a three week let up should be ready to fire down that famous straight.
Best Upset Bet (Race 5) – 2013 Mackinnon Stakes
#9 Dear Demi ($11)
There are three in this nine-horse field under double figures but it is the in-form and well-priced Clarry Conners-trained mare Dear Demi that has our vote. This daughter of Dehere is only just now hitting her peak at four, loving the spring in Melbourne. Three back was third in the Underwood behind It’s A Dundeel as a $71 outsider. Was a luckless seventh in the Turnbull Stakes but relished a step back up in distance to a brave third in the Caulfield Cup last start. Think that race is going to be the form line to follow here, race favourite #6 Jet Away ($2.80) was fourth in the Cup, and this one can surprise.
Value Place Bet (Race 7) – 2013 Myer Classic
#9 Ava’s Delight ($21)
There are lots of classy mares lining up in this year’s Myer Classic field but one that we think could be a shock top three finisher is the Darren Weir-trained Ava’s Delight who should appreciate the mile after her good last start third to race favourite #1 Red Tracer ($2.70) in the Tristarc Stakes (1400m) as a $41 roughie on October 19. Before that she was far from disgraced when fifth to Atlantic Jewel in the Stocks Stakes, her first unplaced run since the winter. Last time over the 1600m at Flemington was runner-up carrying 60kg and while is up in class only has to handle 57kg today with Craig Williams riding.
Lay of the Day (Race 7) – 2013 Myer Classic
#1 Red Tracer ($2.70)
Looking at the mares’ feature of the day again, think that Chris Waller’s Tattersall’s Tiara winner Red Tracer is far too short and can be beaten here. She won the Tristarc last time out beating a number of these, and is a very classy mare, but only ran 10th in this race 12 months ago behind a 40-1 upset winner (Appearance). Not sure if the Flemington mile is really her best and think the other Waller-trained runner, #3 Catkins ($13) can score an upset over their better fancied stablemate.
For all the hottest Victoria Derby Day betting odds and options visit our preferred online betting agency Ladbrokes.com.au where you’ll get your first deposit matched dollar for dollar as a bonus bet valued up to $500 this spring!
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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