There are four races holding elite level status running at Flemington for Victoria Derby Day on Saturday, one of which is the weight-for-age 2013 Mackinnon Stakes– betting tips for which are detailed below.
This year’s $1 million Group 1 Longines Mackinnon Stakes (2000m) drew a final field of nine gallopers, one more than faced off in the Melbourne Cup last chance clash 12 months ago.
With a ballot exemption to Tuesday’s two mile classic on the cards for the Mackinnon Stakes winner, the race is going to be a tough battle.
Currently winning the Mackinnon Stakes betting battle at a steady quote of $2.80 is the David Hayes-trained Jet Away.
Drawn on the rails in barrier one with Glen Boss to ride the imported Cape Cross seven-year-old is currently 30th on the Melbourne Cup order of entry and desperate to make the 24-horse final field for the ‘race that stops a nation’.
To do so they must improve on their eye-catching last start fourth to Fawkner in the Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m) when they drop back in distance, and a little in class too, for this.
They are joined at single figures in the Mackinnon Stakes odds then by Rob Heathcote’s last start Toorak Handicap winner Solzhenitsyn ($4.20) for whom history is against for another Group 1 win on Saturday, and market mover Pakal ($5.25) coming off a Cranbourne Cup win.
So are these three the ones to lock into the Mackinnon Stakes trifecta?
Or is there more value to be found further down the markets form a double figure chance like Clarry Conners’ Caulfield Cup third placed Dear Demi ($10), Railway Stakes winning WA raider Mr Moet ($12) or the Chris Waller-trained Moriarty ($15)?
#9 Dear Demi ($10)
Really think that this improving four-year-old Dehere mare is on the up and can take this one out at a nice price. She’s been honest right from her juvenile season last year which included a second to Pierro in the Champagne Stakes. A Group 1 winner at three in the Crown Oaks over the 2500m at Flemington in Cup Carnival time 12 months ago and the good form has continued this spring. She made up ground to finishing third to It’s A Dundeel second-up at Caulfield after an awkward jump, another bad start also hampering her in the Turnbull Stakes. She was better in the Caulfield Cup overcoming barrier 18 of 18 to cross third, a stellar effort. Back down in distance again for this and it’s WFA but she’s
#6 Jet Away ($2.80)
Stellar effort first-up off a six month break when seventh in the Turnbull Stakes, beaten just two lengths by subsequent Cox Plate runner-up Happy Trails. From the gate (1) should be away well and can slot into a lovely position if things work out in their favour. Should settle better than they did in the Caulfield Cup, where they over raced, giving them something for the end this time. Can they salute for the punters though and keep the Melbourne Cup dream alive? It’s a lot of pressure and don’t think this race would have been in original calculations if they were further up the ballot which is of some concern.
#7 Pakal ($5.25)
Money coming for the last start Cranbourne Cup winner, a German import now prepared by Mick Price, and with good reason. The Lord Of England five-year-old was very impressive that run, carrying a hefty 60kg under handicap conditions, and have the chance to show off again after drawing an advantageous gate here (barrier three). Form from Cranbourne is stacking up too as runner-up Serotrious, who Pakal beat by over two lengths, won Wednesday’s Bendigo Cup.First WFA attempt down under, but looks the type, and liked the inside alley last start suggesting their start this week is ideal.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change