Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Moonee Valley Racecourse will be a hive of racing activity this Saturday, October 26, with Cox Plate Day 2013 featuring a crack 10 race program – insider tips and betting selections for which are listed below.
The race every punter is gearing up for is of course the $3 million Group 1 Cox Plate (2040m) which will keep the crowds around until the last.
The 2013 Cox Plate, featuring a full 14-horse field, is set to bring things to a close as Race 10 at 5:40pm (AEST) and even without the queen Atlantic Jewel is sure to be a hot race to enjoy a flutter on.
Betting on Australasia’s weight-for-age championship is now led by the Murray Baker-trained It’s A Dundeel ($4.20 or $8.40 at Ladbrokes.com.au’s DTO promo) who is looking to go back-to-back for the New Zealanders following the success of Ocean Park 12 months ago.
Following It’s A Dundeel in the standard Fixed Win odds, all prices that are available at Double The Odds through Ladbrokes.com.au, are then the drifting duo of Puissance De Lune (out to $5) and Fiorente (at $6.50 and easing).
Punters are shying away it seems from the form on these two who finished second and fourth respectively behind Happy Trails ($12 to win on Saturday) in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on October 5.
The money though is coming for three-year-old Darley galloper Long John ($7 in from $7.50) despite the fact the Peter Snowden-trained youngster is out to become the first Caulfield Guineas – Cox Plate double winner since Red Anchor (1984).
Outside of the Cox Plate 2013 there are five other Group races to tune into on Saturday including three Group 2 events:
- 2013 Mitchelton Wines Vase (Race 5) – Small eight horse field of three-year-olds but worth a look in as a Victoria Derby preview with the likes of Savvy Nature and Drago fine tuning their form before taking on Complacent over the 2500m at Flemington Saturday week.
- 2013 Drake International Cup (Race 7) – Field is shrinking for this 2500m Melbourne Cup last chance bid with only nine left following the scratching of #4 Forgotten Voice and #7 Ibicenco who both ran in the Geelong Cup on Wednesday, the latter taking it out in an upset. Who’s left? Sneak A Peek is now the favourite after their third in The Metropolitan in Sydney last time out.
- 2013 Schweppes Crystal Mile (Race 8) – Ten to run in this weight-for-age feature, most notable of which is Guy Walter’s Emirates Stakes-bound Toydini who also heads the markets just ahead of Sacred Falls and Speediness.
See below for the full Cox Plate Day trifecta tips to have you cleaning out the bookies on the weekend, including those for the Cox Plate where you can get double the odds online at Ladbrokes.com.au!
Race 1 (12:10pm) – $250,000 Inglis Banner (1000m)
#1 Good Prince ($4.20) from #3 Beau Rada ($26) and #14 Donelle ($3)
Anthony Cummings’ Casino Prince colt Good Prince ran second on debut two weeks’ back in the Debutant Stakes at Caulfield in a brave effort, should have come on from that and can win even from the wide gate. Beau Rada adds value after their fourth on debut while the Gai Waterhouse-trained Donelle was eye catching with a second in a trial.
Race 2 (12:45pm) – $100,000 1PRINT.COM.AU Handicap (1000m)
#1 Vatican ($3.50) from #4 Canali ($6) and #2 Esprit De Bullet ($4.60)
Byron Cozamanis, who takes over Turnbull Stakes winner Happy Trails for their Cox Plate start on the weekend, lines up Schillaci Stakes fourth placed Vatican here who should be good having won over the 950m at the Valley two back. Canali won over this distance at Cranbourne last start and should love that rails draw. Esprit De Bullet meanwhile is first-up here after back-to-back 1050m in Adelaide pre-spell.
Race 3 (1:20pm) – $100,000 City Jeep Handicap (1200m)
#5 Henwood ($5) from #8 Such Hope ($13) and #4 Richie’s Vibe ($3.90)
John Sadler-trained Savabeel gelding Henwood won at this track and distance two back (in August), last run was also in August over 1400m at Flemington, drop back to 1200m will suit. Such Hope runner-up at Cranbourne to Canali (who runs the race before) last start while Richie’s Vibe has run 2nd and 4th in two most recent, last won at the 1400m at Caulfield.
Race 4 (1:55pm) – $100,000 Drummond Gold Handicap (2040m)
#6 Opinion ($3.40) from #3 Rothera ($11) and #11 Bel Thor ($7)
Pre-race hype on Chris Waller-trained European import Opinion for their maiden Aussie start, winning form up to 2400m at Ascot in June so first-up at 2040m looks ideal. Rothera has faced classier fields in their time, including Brisbane Cup fifth in the winter, last start second in Brisbane over the mile. Bel Thor was fourth last start over 2025m in the Cranbourne Cup and on the improve, they’re also the market mover here.
Race 5 (2:30pm) – $220,000 Group 2 Mitchelton Wines Vase (2040m)
#1 Savvy Nature ($2.10) from #3 Tips And Beers ($6) and #4 Storm Approach ($8)
First Group race of the day, favourite Savvy Nature who is also second pick for the $1.5 million Group 1 Victoria Derby (2500m) Saturday week will take some beating. They have the blinkers on to sharpen them up after a last start third in the Group 1 Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) in Sydney, will the Randwick form stack up? Tips And Beers if flying for David Hayes having own three on the trot and goes up in class. Storm approach also a last start winner over 1800m in Adelaide, distance should suit.
Race 6 (3:05pm) – $150,000 Group 3 Telstra Phonewords Stakes (1200m)
#3 Diamond Oasis ($9) from #4 Thermal Current ($7) and #1 Va Pensiero ($9.50)
John O’Shea-trained Lonhro colt Diamond Oasis has been in top form including their Heritage Stakes second at Randwick last month and their third in the Blue Sapphire at Caulfield a fortnight ago which they can improve on. Thermal Current was seventh in the Golden Rose last time out and comes off a nice little freshen-up, should be right to go against this class from the inside alley. Va Pensiero Group 3 winner twice at Rosehill, comes off a fourth in the Blue Sapphire and has class.
Race 7 (3:40pm) – $250,000 Group 2 Drake International Cup (2500m)
#2 Sneak A Peek ($3.50) from #6 Mourinho ($4.60) and #9 Gotta Take Care ($5)
Can see Peter Moody’s stayer Sneak A Peek getting the bikkies here after improving each run this time in, including a Hill Stakes fourth and then their third to Seville (Cox Plate runner) in the Group 1 The Metropolitan (2400m) at Randwick on October 5. Mourinho winner of the JRA Cup (2050m) at the Valley two back in a beautiful run before their Cranbourne Cup third carrying 59kg, go back to 56kg for this so a danger. Gotta Take Care in good form, won twice over this track and distance earlier this prep before a third at Flemington in the Listed Bart Cummings, also over the 2500m, on October 5.
Race 8 (4:15pm) – $220,000 Group 2 Schweppes Crystal Mile (1600m)
#6 Blackie ($9.50) from #10 Toydini ($3.20) and #3 Speediness ($5.50)
Blackie a really good chance here at a beautiful price. Won over the 1500m here two back over Sertorius before taking that form to Caulfield for the Group 1 Toorak Handicap (1600m) when third to Solzhenitsyn in a brave run. Valley suits and form from Toorak should stack up. Toydini is favourite and form has been good, winner of the Cameron Handicap (1500m) at Newcastle last month before their Group 1 Epsom Handicap (1600m) third to Boban last start, think they’ll peak at Flemington though in the Emirates Stakes. Speediness is also down in class after two elite level runs finishing fourth to Rebel Dane in the Sir Rupert before fourth again in the Toorak.
Race 9 (4:50pm) – $150,000 Group 3 Eliza Park International Stakes (1600m)
#1 Catkins ($6) from #2 Lake Sententia ($4.60) and #8 Two Sugars ($11)
Catkins has the top weight (59kg) but probably deserves it based on their nice form this prep including a Group 3 How Now winner over 1200m with 58kg at Caulfield two back, and third to Fire Up Fifi over 1400m at Flemington last start. Lake Sentenita looking better after their fourth in the same Flemington race while Two Sugars has run third at two latest starts, most recently over the Caulfield mile on October 16.
Race 10 (5:40pm) – $3,000,000 Group 1 Sportingbet Cox Plate (2040m)
#11 It’s A Dundeel ($4.20) from #2 Happy Trails ($13) and #12 Super Cool ($21)
Read out detailed 2013 Cox Plate Tips post for more details.
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au, times AEST, both subject to change
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