The shock withdrawal of injured favourite Atlantic Jewel threw a real spanner in the works when it came to 2013 Cox Plate betting on Saturday’s Moonee Valley major, the updated markets excluding the mighty mare now led by It’s A Dundeel.
Mark Kavanagh’s four-time Group 1 winning queen was close to odds on territory in the markets for the $3 million Group 1 Cox Plate (2040m) after connections drew barrier seven for the weight-for-age classic at this morning’s draw.
However Kavanagh discovered swelling in the lower sheath of a flexor tendon in her offside foreleg soon after and was forced to scratch her from the Cox Plate.
The only horse to defeat Atlantic Jewel in her 11 start career to date, It’s A Dundeel, is now the new favourite in Cox Plate betting currently enjoying some love from the punters firming into $4.
Four dollars turns into $8 however at Ladbrokes.com.au who are offering their famous ‘Double The Odds’ promo on the Cox Plate this weekend.
Murray Baker’s five-time Group 1 winner has an awkward gate (13 into 12) to overcome but has an imposing record that proves they have the class to overcome that.
Their last start was a narrow win over Kavanagh’s star in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes (1800m) on September 21 where they were suited to the give out of the ground.
Rain is predicted in Melbourne this week and so the High Chaparral four-year-old could get another Slow track in their first run for over a month.
It’s A Dundeel though has a few fitness queries to address after missing the Caulfield Stakes and some serious lead-up work due to a hoof abscess.
Hot on the Kiwi’s heels at $4.20 in the standard markets is then the Darren Weir-trained Puissance De Lune ($8.40 DTO) who is on way to the $6.2 million Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m) at Flemington on November 5.
The Shamardal grey looked in top form when running a close second to Happy Trails in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on October 5, an ideal run ahead of the Cox Plate over a similar distance.
The third fancy in Cox Plate betting at $4.60 is then the Gai Waterhouse-trained Fiorente ($9.20 DTO).
Fiorente is also 2013 Melbourne Cup-bound having run second in the ‘race that stops a nation’ 12 months ago in their Australian race debut.
They have been dominant in Cox Plate calculations all prep after a winning effort at Moonee Valley in the Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes over the mile and their eye-catching Turnbull Stakes fourth.
The only query here though is the barrier with Blake Shinn to ride them from the outside gate on Saturday.
The only other single-figure Cox Plate chance this year is then Peter Snowden’s Street Cry gelding Long John ($8.50 or $17 DTO).
The three-year-old is looking to become the 20th of their age to win the Cox Plate, the first since So You Think (2009), and comes off a good win in the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas (1600m).
The last horse to complete the Caulfield Guineas – Cox Plate double however was Red Anchor way back in 1984.
For punters after a little more value longer-priced Cox Plate hopes in with a shot at the title then include Turnbull Stakes winner Happy Trails ($16 or $32 DTO) in gate two, the top of the three Lloyd Williams-owned chances Green Moon ($17 or $34 DTO) and Kavanagh’s remaining chance Super Cool ($21 or $42 DTO) coming off a Caulfield Stakes third.
Below you will find the full Cox Plate 2013 field and markets, double the odds fixed win prices available online now at Ladbrokes.com.au.
Don’t have a Ladbrokes.com.au account? It only takes two minutes to sign-up with the country’s premier online bookie who will also match your first deposit with them dollar for dollar as a bonus bet valued up to $500 this season!
2013 Cox Plate Odds
Moonee Valley Race 10 – 5:40pm (AEST) – 26/10/2013