Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The big one in Melbourne this weekend is the Caulfield Guineas 2013 for the season’s star staying three-year-olds, the Races.com.au team’s inside tips and betting selections for which can be found right here.
The $1 million Group 1 BECK Caulfield Guineas (1600m) will bring the Caulfield racing action to a close on Saturday afternoon as Race 10 at 5:45pm (AEST).
Unlike in a few previous editions of the classic where a dominant three-year-old or two force out a field of depth, this year’s 14-horse Caulfield Guineas field features plenty of talent.
It’s also a relatively wide open Caulfield Guineas betting affair this year with the latest odds led by steady favourite Long John who pays $4 or an incredible $8 in Ladbrokes.com.au’s incredible DOUBLE THE ODDS promo.
Peter Snowden’s Street Cry gelding has them split this year.
They are a four time winner from six starts, most recently taking out the Listed Henry Bucks Best Dressed (1400m) at Flemington on September 7.
But they were defeated by two of their Saturday rivals last start when third in the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m), and even Snowden is holding back on declaring them of Group 1 class.
Occupying the second line of betting at $5 ($10 DTO) is then Prince Harada who has a wider barrier 12 draw to overcome, and who comes in fresh not having raced since their fifth in the Group 1 Golden Rose (1400) on September 14.
The form from that race is certainly stacking up too with the Chris Waller-trained winner Zoustar having won the Group 2 Roman Consul Stakes next start on route to the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) on Derby Day.
Other single figure Caulfield Guineas betting fancies are then Peter Moody’s market mover Dissident ($8.50 or $17 DTO) coming off a sixth in the Group 1 George Main in open-age company, Prelude winner Éclair Big Bang ($8.50 or $17 DTO) and runner-up there El Roca at a shorter $7.50 ($15 DTO).
But should you be putting all your money into the shorties?
Or is there value to be found backing a double-figure Guineas contender for an upset, or in the exotics, such as Group 2 Bill Stutt Stakes winner Divine Calling ($17 or $34 DTO) or Stutt Stakes runner-up Shamus Award at the same price who will be ridden by Glen Boss?
#1 Dissident ($17 DTO)
Think Peter Moody’s promising Sebring colt is one of the underrated three-year-olds of the season ready for their Group 1 after two good runs at elite level. They were second in the Run To The Rose before finishing second to Zoustar in the big one on September 14 and then stepped up to the mile at Randwick for the Group 1 George Main Stakes. They were far from disgraced in the WFA race too when sixth to Streama and are going to like coming back against their own kind here. The George Main also produced last year’s Caulfield Guineas winner All Too Hard (4th).
#3 Divine Calling ($34 DTO)
Think this in-form Stratum grey prepared by Gai Waterhouse represents awesome value and will surprise. They are after their third on the trot after a good Moonee Valley win over 1500m and then their Group 2 Bill Stutt Stakes success over the 1600m from gate 12 of 12 on September 27. Big wrap on them from us as they are now proven over the mile which is super important in a race like this. Out to become the third Bill Stutt Stakes – Caulfield Guineas double winner in the past 11 years joining Whobegotyou (2008) and Helenus (2002).
#7 Prince Harada ($10 DTO)
They have had a bit of a break between runs with a month since their Golden Rose fifth, but go well fresh and should be right in this. Won opening two starts during the winter before first-up second in the Group 3 HDF McNEil Stakes. Golden Rose effort was good and going up to the mile is going to suit this Haradasun colt.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from Ladbrokes.com.au and subject to change
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