Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Some exciting fillies and mares will face off at Warwick Farm on Saturday in the Toy Show Quality 2013 ahead of the bigger spring features, and to help you back the winner below are our insider tips for the Warwick Stakes Day showdown.
This year’s $125,000 Group 3 Toy Show Quality (1300m) features 10 hopefuls who will come head-to-head in Race 3 at 1:45pm (AEST).
Pick of the pack and the one to beat is the Chris Waller-trained Royal Descent out to prove her 10 length romp in the Group 1 Australian Oaks over the mile and a half before the break was no fluke.
She pays $2.10 in the latest Toy Show Quality odds despite having barrier 10 to overcome and the 59kg to carry with Nash Rawiller in the saddle.
Two of her rivals join her at the top of the markets under $10 with Gai Waterhouse’s former star juvenile No Looking Back ($4.50) and Hidden Kisses, another Waller-trained hopeful who won at Randwick two weeks back.
At double figures are then some other genuine chances that could prove a great value bet including the in-form Queen’s Elect ($10) vying for their third win on the trot and the resuming Crafty Irna ($12) who ran a close second to Dystopia in this race first-up last year.
So which runner should you have your money on this year? Can the favourite salute with the big weight? Or is there an upset Toy Show Quality result on the cards?
[bdtip text=”We are tipping a Chris Waller-trained Toy Show Quinella with Hidden Kisses to upset their better fancied stablemate Royal Descent”]
#4 Hidden Kisses ($7.50)
Think Waller will take this one out but not with the favourite. Instead have our money on the better priced stable mate Hidden Kisses who has the fitness edge following a win over 1200m at Randwick on August 10. Carried 58kg to victory there, albeit against a much easier field, and so will relish the drop back to the 54kg minimum on Saturday. Get a jockey change with Glyn Schofield replacing Rawiller who jumps on Royal Descent who has a full five kilos more with 59kg.
#1 Royal Descent ($2.20)
Gearing up for a super spring from this one. Think they’ll really come on as a four-year-old and add more success to their record that already has a Group 1 trophy on it. While they’re the class horse in the field, just think the 59kg first-up over a short distance could get the better of them with the Cox Plate over 2000m their main aim. Also out wide (gate 10) but should finish well alongside Hidden Kisses one on their inside in barrier nine.
#3 No Looking Back ($4.50)
Last year’s Blue Diamond runner-up, the now four-year-old Redoute’s Choice mare is better than her recent winter form suggests. Has ability to bounce back after two bad runs as Waterhouse tries her over a little more distance. A 54kg lightweight drawn for the run of the race with the inside alley and Tommy Berry aboard. Has had two nice Randwick trials over 1050m and 1000m for a second and then a big two length win most recently on August 2.
Get behind our pick to win the Toy Show Quality 2013 online now at bookmaker.com.au where you’ll find the biggest range of Fixed Win horse racing odds all season.
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change
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